Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 27

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 27

Updated Apr. 27, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

Mitchell Parker gets the nod on the mound for the Washington Nationals in the second of a four-game series against the Miami Marlins and Luis Arraez on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. The Marlins are -143 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Nationals (+121). Miami is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +148 odds). A 7.5-run total has been listed in the contest.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Washington Nationals' 3-1 win over the Miami Marlins.

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
  • Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: MASN2
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins -143 +121 7.5 -114 -106 -1.5 +148 -175

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Marlins 51%, Nationals 49%

Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have been favored in seven games this season, but they have failed to win any of those contests.
  • Miami has not won as favorites of -143 or more on the moneyline this season in three such games.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 23 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (43.5%) in those games.
  • This year, Washington has won nine of 20 games when listed as at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 45.2% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
WSH 11 · MIA 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Washington Nationals
WSH
Miami Marlins
MIA

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins were listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just once in the last 10 games, and lost that matchup.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Marlins and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Marlins' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.6
HR 6
ERA 3.77
K/9 9.3

Marlins Player Insights

  • Arraez leads the Marlins with a .291 batting average.
  • Arraez's home runs place him 298th in MLB, and he is 306th in RBI.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit five home runs to pace his team.
  • De La Cruz is 30th in home runs and 49th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Josh Bell is batting .172 with three doubles, three home runs and 11 walks.
  • Jazz Chisholm has five doubles, two home runs and 12 walks while hitting .227.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tim Anderson 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+210)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+240)
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+205)
Josh Bell 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+195)
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+220)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Nationals are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 8
ERA 3.60
K/9 7.1

Nationals Player Insights

  • C.J. Abrams has put up a team-leading six home runs and has driven in 12 runs.
  • In all of MLB, Abrams ranks 14th in homers and 78th in RBI.
  • Jesse Winker is hitting .284 with six doubles, two home runs and 13 walks.
  • Winker is 124th in home runs and 144th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Luis Garcia has racked up a team-best batting average of .308.
  • Ildemaro Vargas is hitting .293 with four doubles and seven walks.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Luis Garcia 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+210)
C.J. Abrams 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+195)
Joey Meneses 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+200)
LaVictor Antwain Lipscomb 0.5 (-154) 0.5 (-154) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+265)
Jacob Young 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) - 0.5 (+330)

Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Washington Nationals' 3-1 win over the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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