Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 7 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 19

Updated May. 19, 2024 3:22 p.m. ET

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The Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves are doing battle in the second round of the NBA Playoffs, with a decisive Game 7 next to come. The Nuggets play the Timberwolves in a game that Denver is currently a favorite by 4.5 points. The over/under is 199.5 points for the game.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Nuggets-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 19, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: TNT

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (+ 4.5)
O/U Pick: Over (199.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 111 - Timberwolves 110

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• The Nuggets and their opponent have combined to score over 199.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 78 of 82 games this year.
• The Timberwolves have played in 70 games this season (85.4% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 199.5 points.
• The two teams average a combined 28.4 more points per game (227.9) than this game's over/under of 199.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 16.6 more points per game (216.1) than this game's total of 199.5 points.
• Denver has been victorious in 53, or 73.6%, of the 72 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Minnesota has been victorious in 10, or 50%, of the 20 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• After the last 10 head-to-head matchups, Denver and Minnesota have a tied 5-5 record.
• The Timberwolves have a 6-4 record against the spread when playing the Nuggets.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover for four straight games against the point spread, and were the favorite in three of those games.

FINAL

MIN 98 · DEN 90

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Minnesota Timberwolves

MIN

+4.5

+163

o201

Denver Nuggets

DEN

-4.5

-197

u201

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Denver's average total over the last 10 games is 12.5 points more than the 199.5 total given for this matchup.
• The Nuggets are 38-42-1 against the spread this year.
• Denver is 25-27-1 ATS when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
• The Nuggets have eclipsed the over/under in 41.5% of their opportunities this year (34 times over 82 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets record 8.4 more points per game (114.9) than the Timberwolves give up (106.5).
• Denver is 35-26-1 against the spread and 53-10 overall when scoring more than 106.5 points.
• The Nuggets make 49.6% of their shots from the field this season, which is 4.6 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (45.0%).
• When playing at home, the Nuggets have a better record against the spread (21-19-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (17-23-1).
• Denver has exceeded the total in 18 of 41 home games (43.9%), compared to 16 of 41 road games (39%).
• The Nuggets have won a higher percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 32-8 (.800). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 21-11 (.656).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 26.4 points, 9.0 assists and 12.4 rebounds per game.
• Michael Porter Jr. averages 16.7 points, 7.0 boards and 1.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• Jamal Murray puts up 21.2 points, 4.1 boards and 6.5 assists per game, shooting 48.1% from the floor and 42.5% from downtown (10th in league) with 2.5 made 3-pointers per game.
• Aaron Gordon puts up 13.9 points, 6.5 boards and 3.5 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Reggie Jackson averages 10.2 points, 1.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 43.1% from the field and 35.9% from beyond the arc with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest.

Nuggets Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have gone 7-3 over their past 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread during that span.
• Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 190.2 combined points in its last 10 games, 9.3 less than the 199.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Timberwolves have 40 wins against the spread in 82 games this year.
• Minnesota has an against the spread record of 4-4 in its eight games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more this year.
• The Timberwolves have eclipsed the over/under 50% of the time this year (41 of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Timberwolves' 113.0 points per game are only 3.4 more points than the 109.6 the Nuggets allow.
• When it scores more than 109.6 points, Minnesota is 35-18 against the spread and 43-10 overall.
• The Timberwolves' 48.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.3 percentage points higher than the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents (46.2%).
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves have had better results on the road (22-18-1) than at home (18-22-1) .
• Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under less often at home (18 times out of 41) than away (23 of 41) this season.
• The Timberwolves' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .730 (27-10), and away it is .792 (19-5).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards is putting up 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest. He's also sinking 46.1% of his shots from the floor and 35.7% from 3-point range, with 2.4 triples per game.
• On a per-game basis, Rudy Gobert gives the Timberwolves 14.0 points, 12.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 2.1 blocked shots (sixth in NBA).
• Karl-Anthony Towns gives the Timberwolves 21.8 points, 8.3 rebounds and 3.0 assists per contest while posting 0.7 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• The Timberwolves are receiving 13.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from Naz Reid this season.
• The Timberwolves are getting 11.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game from Mike Conley this season.

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets - 05/20/2024