Orioles vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

Orioles vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

Updated May. 11, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

Christian Walker and the Arizona Diamondbacks hit the field on Saturday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against John Means, who will start for the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch will be at 4:05 PM ET for the second game of a three-game series. Bookmakers list the Orioles as -159 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Diamondbacks +135 moneyline odds. Baltimore is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The game's total is set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles game on Friday, May 10.

Orioles vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET
  • Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
  • How to Watch on TV: MASN2
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles -159 +135 8.5 -119 -101 -1.5 +127 -152

Orioles vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 4, Diamondbacks 2
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Orioles 64%, Diamondbacks 36%

Orioles vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • This season, the Orioles have been favored 29 times and won 18, or 62.1%, of those games.
  • This season Baltimore has won eight of its 12 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -159 on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have a 61.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 20 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (35%) in those games.
  • Arizona has won all of its three games in which it was named as at least a +135 moneyline underdog.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL (11)
AZ 4 · BAL 5
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Baltimore Orioles
BAL

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles were the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they went 4-2 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Orioles and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
  • The Orioles have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 13
ERA 1.66
K/9 8.1

Orioles Player Insights

  • Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 11 home runs and 26 runs batted in.
  • Including all MLB batters, Henderson is 47th in batting average, 48th in on-base percentage, and sixth in slugging.
  • Henderson brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a double, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
  • Jordan Westburg has seven doubles, two triples, six home runs and seven walks while hitting .282.
  • Of all MLB hitters, Westburg is 44th in homers and 30th in RBI.
  • Westburg enters this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with two doubles, a home run and three RBI.
  • Adley Rutschman paces the Orioles with a .316 batting average.
  • Rutschman will look to build on his seven-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .310 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
  • Anthony Santander is batting .216 with nine doubles, a triple, six home runs and 11 walks.
  • Santander has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with two home runs, two walks and six RBI.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Gunnar Henderson 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+145)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+150)
Adley Rutschman 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+165)
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+165)
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+140)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
  • The Diamondbacks have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 9
ERA 5.30
K/9 6.2

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Ketel Marte paces the Diamondbacks with eight homers while recording a team-best batting average of .295.
  • Marte's home run total puts him 20th in the majors, and he ranks 67th in RBI.
  • Marte brings a hitting streak of 11 games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .262 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs, two walks and four RBI.
  • Walker has driven in the most runs for the Diamondbacks with 26 runs batted in.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Walker ranks 31st in homers and 18th in RBI.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has seven doubles, five home runs and eight walks while hitting .240.
  • Corbin Carroll is batting .200 with three doubles, two home runs and 18 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Christian Walker 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+150)
Corbin Carroll 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+240)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+170)
Ketel Marte 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+150)
Randal Grichuk 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+170)

Diamondbacks vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles game on Friday, May 10.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

ADVERTISEMENT

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

share