Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 1 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 7

Updated May. 7, 2024 9:22 p.m. ET

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The Oklahoma City Thunder will go up against the Dallas Mavericks in Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. Tuesday's game between the Thunder and the Mavericks sees the Thunder as 4.5-point favorites. A 219.5-point over/under is set for the game.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, May 7, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: TNT and truTV

Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 4.5)
O/U Pick: Over (219.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 120 - Mavericks 112

Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• Of 82 games so far this year, the Thunder have had 58 with over 219.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under.
• A total of 62 Mavericks games this season (out of 82) have had more than 219.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 18.5 more points per game (238) than this game's total of 219.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 8.8 more points per game (228.3) than this matchup's over/under of 219.5 points.
• Oklahoma City has been victorious in 47, or 77%, of the 61 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Dallas has been victorious in 11, or 36.7%, of the 30 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Oklahoma City has a 3-1 record in the last four head-to-head meetings with Dallas.
• The squads are both 2-2 against the spread in those contests.
• The Thunder covered the spread in their past four games, and were favored in all of those contests.

FINAL

DAL 95 · OKC 117

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

+4.5

+151

o219.5

Oklahoma City Thunder

OKC

-4.5

-183

u219.5

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their last 10 games.
• Oklahoma City's average total over the last 10 games is 0.7 points more than the 219.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• In the Thunder's 82 games this season, they have 46 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, Oklahoma City has been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 41 times and are 25-16 ATS in those matchups.
• Thunder games this year have gone over the total in 45 out of 82 opportunities (54.9%).
• The 120.1 points per game the Thunder score are only 4.5 more points than the Mavericks give up (115.6).
• Oklahoma City has a 39-16 record against the spread and a 46-9 record overall when putting up more than 115.6 points.
• This season, the Thunder have a 49.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.4% higher than the 47.5% of shots the Mavericks' opponents have made.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 27 times in 41 opportunities at home, and they've covered 19 times in 41 opportunities on the road.
• In terms of point totals, Oklahoma City hits the over less consistently at home, as it has gone over the total 21 times in 41 opportunities this season (51.2%). In road games, it has hit the over 24 times in 41 opportunities (58.5%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have taken 30 of 35 games when playing at home, good for a .857 winning percentage. They have won 17 of 26 games on the road (.654) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 30.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 2 steals (first in NBA) and 0.9 blocks.
• Chet Holmgren averages 16.5 points, 7.9 boards and 2.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 2.3 blocks (fourth in NBA).
• Jalen Williams puts up 19.1 points, 4 boards and 4.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Josh Giddey averages 12.3 points, 4.8 assists and 6.4 boards.
• Luguentz Dort posts 10.9 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 43.8% from the floor and 39.4% from downtown with 2 made treys per contest.

Thunder Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 games.
• Dallas' average total over the last 10 games is 22.4 points fewer than the 219.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• The Mavericks have 48 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• Dallas has an against the spread record of 4-7 in its 11 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more this year.
• Mavericks games this year have hit the over on 36 of 82 set point totals (43.9%).
• The Mavericks score an average of 117.9 points per game, 5.2 more points than the 112.7 the Thunder allow to opponents.
• Dallas is 40-13 against the spread and 42-11 overall when it scores more than 112.7 points.
• The Mavericks are shooting 48.1% from the field, 2.6% higher than the 45.5% the Thunder's opponents have shot this season.
• This season, the Mavericks are 21-20-0 at home against the spread (.512 winning percentage). On the road, they are 27-14-0 ATS (.659).
• Looking at the over/under, Dallas' games have finished over 16 of 41 times at home (39%), and 20 of 41 away (48.8%).
• The Mavericks' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .667 (18-9), and away it is .826 (19-4).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Luka Doncic generates 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game for the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks are receiving 25.6 points, 5 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game from Kyrie Irving this season.
• Daniel Gafford is averaging 11 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. He is making 72.5% of his shots from the field (first in league).
• P.J. Washington gets the Mavericks 12.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game while delivering 1 steal and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 14.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest. He is making 40.2% of his shots from the field and 35.3% from 3-point range, with 2.7 triples per game.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Oklahoma City Thunder

Dallas Mavericks

NBA - Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - 05/08/2024