Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 28

Updated Apr. 28, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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Pete Alonso and the New York Mets take on Nolan Arenado and the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET in the final game of a three-game series. Oddsmakers list the Mets as -130 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Cardinals +110 moneyline odds to win. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +163 odds). The total for the contest has been set at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Cardinals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Nolan Gorman's double drove in a run to extend the St. Louis Cardinals' lead over the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: BSMW

Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 4, Cardinals 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 58%, Cardinals 42%

Mets vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 14 games this season and won seven (50%) of those contests.
• New York has a record of 2-5 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -130 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 56.5%.
• The Cardinals have won in six, or 42.9%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• St. Louis has a mark of 3-6 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +110 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL (11)

STL 2 · NYM 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

St. Louis Cardinals

STL

+1.5

+119

o8

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-140

u8

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were favored on the moneyline for four of their last 10 games, and they went 3-1 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Mets' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Alonso has left the yard eight times this season, the highest mark on the Mets, while hitting .252 with 14 RBI.
• Alonso ranks fifth in homers and 59th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Brandon Nimmo has put up 17 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Nimmo ranks 133rd in homers in MLB, and 28th in RBI.
• Nimmo has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .235 with a double, five walks and two RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .198 with four doubles, four home runs and 10 walks.
• Jeff McNeil has six doubles, a home run and eight walks while batting .244.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Cardinals matchup on Fox Sports.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

• The Cardinals have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Cardinals and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Cardinals have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Cardinals Player Insights

• Willson Contreras has swatted a team-leading four long balls.
• Contreras is 54th in home runs and 153rd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Contreras carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with a double, two home runs, three walks and two RBI.
• Brendan Donovan has been productive as he leads his team with 13 runs batted in.
• Donovan ranks 133rd overall in homers and 69th in RBI this year.
• Arenado has racked up a team-high 13 runs batted in.
• Masyn Winn leads the Cardinals with a .300 batting average.

Cardinals Team Props

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New York Mets' Pete Alonso smashed a two-run homer vs. the St. Louis Cardinals. It was also the 200th home run of his career.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets - 04/28/2024