Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 5 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 29

Updated Apr. 29, 2024 9:22 p.m. ET

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The Denver Nuggets will go up against the Los Angeles Lakers in a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Nuggets match up against the Lakers in a game that Denver is currently a healthy favorite by 6.5 points. The point total for the matchup is set at 217.5.

Check out everything you need to know about the Nuggets-Lakers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, April 29, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: TNT, ALT, SportsNet LA, and truTV

Nuggets vs. Lakers Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (- 6.5)
O/U Pick: Over (217.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 119 - Lakers 111

Nuggets vs. Lakers Betting Insights

• The Nuggets have played 51 games with more than 217.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, this season.
• The Lakers games have gone over 217.5 total points scored in 67 of 82 total matchups this year.
• These teams average 232.9 points per game combined, 15.4 more than the over/under of 217.5.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 227 points per game, 9.5 more than the point total in this matchup.
• Denver has been victorious in 53, or 73.6%, of the 72 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Los Angeles has been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and has walked away with the win 15 times (41.7%) in those games.
• Denver has come out on top in six of its last seven head-to-head matchups against Los Angeles.
• The Nuggets also have a 5-2 edge against the spread when playing the Lakers.

FINAL

LAL 106 · DEN 108

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Los Angeles Lakers

LAL

+6.5

+203

o217.5

Denver Nuggets

DEN

-6.5

-250

u217.5

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 220.8 points in its last 10 games, 3.3 more than the 217.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Nuggets are 38-42-1 against the spread this year.
• Denver has been favored by 6.5 points or more 39 times this season and are 20-19 ATS in those games.
• Nuggets games this year have hit the over 34 times in 82 opportunities (41.5%).
• The 114.9 points per game the Nuggets record are just 2.5 fewer points than the Lakers give up (117.4).
• When Denver puts up more than 117.4 points, it is 23-8 against the spread and 28-4 overall.
• This season, the Nuggets have a 49.6% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.2% higher than the 47.4% of shots the Lakers' opponents have hit.
• The Nuggets have done a better job covering the spread in home games (21-19-0) than they have in road games (17-23-1).
• In home games, Denver exceeds the over/under 43.9% of the time (18 of 41 games). It has hit the over in 39% of road games (16 of 41 contests).
• In home games, the Nuggets have won more often as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 32-8 (.800). In away games, they are 21-11 (.656) as a moneyline favorite.

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 26.4 points, 12.4 boards and 9 assists per game, shooting 58.3% from the field (10th in league) and 35.9% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Michael Porter Jr. puts up 16.7 points, 7 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the floor and 39.7% from beyond the arc with 2.7 made treys per contest.
• Jamal Murray posts 21.2 points, 6.5 assists and 4.1 rebounds per game.
• Aaron Gordon averages 13.9 points, 3.5 assists and 6.5 rebounds.
• Reggie Jackson puts up 10.2 points, 1.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 43.1% from the field and 35.9% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game.

Nuggets Player Props

Lakers Recent Trends

• The Lakers have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall over their past 10 games.
• Los Angeles' average total over the last 10 games is 8.7 points greater than the 217.5 total listed for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Lakers are 37-44-0 this season.
• This year, Los Angeles has an against-the-spread record of 3-2 in its five games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more.
• Lakers games this year have hit the over 46 times in 82 opportunities (56.1%).
• The Lakers' 118 points per game are 8.4 more points than the 109.6 the Nuggets allow to opponents.
• When it scores more than 109.6 points, Los Angeles is 31-27 against the spread and 39-20 overall.
• The Lakers are shooting 49.9% from the field, 3.7% higher than the 46.2% the Nuggets' opponents have shot this season.
• The Lakers have been better against the spread at home (20-22-0) than on the road (17-22-0) this season.
• In 2023-24 a lower percentage of Los Angeles' games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, 21 of 42) compared to away (62.5%, 25 of 40).
• In 2023-24 as moneyline favorites, the Lakers have a better winning percentage at home (.767, 23-7 record) than on the road (.562, 9-7).

Lakers Recent Stats

Lakers Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Anthony Davis gets the Lakers 24.7 points, 12.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 2.3 blocked shots (fourth in league).
• The Lakers are receiving 25.7 points, 7.3 rebounds and 8.3 assists per game from LeBron James this season.
• D'Angelo Russell is averaging 18 points, 3.1 rebounds and 6.3 assists per contest. He is sinking 45.6% of his shots from the floor and 41.5% from beyond the arc, with 3 triples per contest (ninth in league).
• The Lakers are receiving 15.9 points, 4.3 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game from Austin Reaves this year.
• Spencer Dinwiddie is averaging 10.5 points, 2.7 rebounds and 4.7 assists per contest. He is sinking 39.2% of his shots from the field and 33.7% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per game.

Lakers Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets - 04/30/2024