Iowa State vs. Illinois Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

Updated Mar. 28, 2024 8:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 3-seed Illinois Fighting Illini (28-8) are ready for a Sweet 16 matchup against the No. 2 Iowa State Cyclones (29-7) on Thursday at 10:09 PM ET as the NCAA Tournament continues at TD Garden airing on TBS/truTV.

The Cyclones face off against the Fighting Illini in a game expected to be a hard-fought meeting. The Cyclones are favored by only 1.5 points against the Fighting Illini. The point total for the game is set at 148.

Continue reading to get everything you need to know before betting on the Iowa State-Illinois game.

Iowa State vs. Illinois Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 10:09 PM ET
Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: TBS/truTV
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Cyclones vs Fighting Illini Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Cyclones	-1.5	-112	-108	148	-108	-112	-120	+100

Iowa State vs. Illinois Prediction

Pick ATS: Illinois (+1.5)
Pick OU: Under (148)
Prediction: Iowa State 74, Illinois 73

Learn more about the Iowa State Cyclones vs. the Illinois Fighting Illini game on FOX Sports!

Iowa State vs. Illinois Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Cyclones 75, Fighting Illini 73.
The Cyclones have a 54.5% chance to claim victory in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Fighting Illini hold a 50.0% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

Iowa State has put together a 26-9-0 record against the spread this season.
Illinois has compiled an 18-14-1 record against the spread this year.
Iowa State has an ATS record of 18-7 when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites this season.
Illinois is 3-1-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

Nine times so far this season, the Cyclones and their opponent have combined for more than 148 points.
Fighting Illini games have had over 148 points 24 times this season.
The total for this matchup is 148 points, 12.1 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams.

Key Moneyline Facts

Iowa State has won 90% of its games this season when the moneyline favorite (18-2).
This season, Illinois has been the underdog five times and won two of those games.
Iowa State has gone 18-2 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -120 or shorter (winning 90%).
This season, Illinois has won two of its five games when it is the underdog by at least +100 on the moneyline.

Iowa State vs. Illinois: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	Iowa State	Illinois
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	75.5 (113)	84.6 (8)
Points Allowed (Rank)	61.3 (4)	73.4 (230)
Rebounds (Rank)	9.2 (129)	11.2 (20)
3pt Made (Rank)	6.7 (250)	8.4 (79)
Assists (Rank)	15.9 (34)	13.4 (150)
Turnovers (Rank)	10 (67)	10.2 (83)

Iowa State 2023-24 Key Players

Cyclones Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Keshon Gilbert	36	13.7	4.4	4.2	1.9	0.1	1
Tamin Lipsey	35	12.5	4.6	4.9	2.7	0.1	1.3
Milan Momcilovic	36	11.2	3.2	1.2	0.5	0.4	1.7
Curtis Jones	36	10.6	2.9	2	1.4	0.1	1.9
Tre King	36	8.9	5.3	0.8	1.1	0.2	0.4

Illinois 2023-24 Key Players

Fighting Illini Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Terrence Shannon Jr.	30	23.3	4	2.3	1	0.9	2.4
Marcus Domask	36	16.1	5	4	0.3	0.4	1.1
Coleman Hawkins	33	12.3	6.1	2.8	1.5	1.1	1.7
Quincy Guerrier	36	9.8	6.2	0.3	0.3	0.3	1.1
Ty Rodgers	36	6.4	5.3	2.1	0.5	0.4	0