San Diego State vs. Utah State Prediction, Odds, Picks - MWC Tournament

Updated Mar. 15, 2024 8:28 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 5 seed San Diego State Aztecs (23-9, 11-7 MWC) take on the No. 1 seed Utah State Aggies (27-5, 14-4 MWC) in the MWC tournament Friday at Thomas & Mack Center, beginning at 9:30 PM ET. Both teams will try to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

The Aztecs are a 5-point favorite against the Aggies when the Aztecs and the Aggies square off. The matchup features an over/under of 138.5.

Keep reading to get the details before betting on the San Diego State-Utah State matchup.

San Diego State vs. Utah State Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, March 15, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
Where: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada
How to Watch on TV: CBS Sports Network
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Aztecs vs Aggies Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Aztecs	-5	-110	-110	138.5	-110	-110	-225	+185

San Diego State vs. Utah State Prediction

Pick ATS: Utah State (+5)
Pick OU: Over (138.5)
Prediction: San Diego State 74, Utah State 73

Learn more about the San Diego State Aztecs vs. the Utah State Aggies game on FOX Sports!

San Diego State vs. Utah State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Aztecs 72, Aggies 67.
The Aztecs have a 69.2% chance to claim victory in this matchup per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Aggies hold a 35.1% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

San Diego State has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 18 times.
Utah State has put together a 14-14-2 record against the spread this year.
When playing as at least 5-point favorites this season, San Diego State has an ATS record of 10-9.
Utah State has been an underdog by 5 points or more this year four times and failed to cover in all four.

Key Total Facts

In 16 games this season, the Aztecs and their opponent have combined for more than 138.5 points.
There have been 23 Aggies games this season with more than 138.5 points scored.
These teams score 154.8 points per game combined, higher than the over/under for this matchup by 16.3.

Key Moneyline Facts

San Diego State has won 18 of 22 games when listed as the moneyline favorite this season (81.8%).
This season, Utah State has been the underdog five times and won one of those games.
In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -225 or shorter, San Diego State has a record of 17-1 (94.4% win percentage).
Utah State has not won as an underdog of +185 or more on the moneyline this season in four games with those odds or longer.

San Diego State vs. Utah State: Recent Results

Aztecs vs Aggies Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
2/20/2024	Aggies	-3.5	146.5	-175	+145	68-63 UTAHST
2/3/2024	Aztecs	-6	147	-270	+220	81-67 SDST
3/11/2023	Aztecs	-2	138	-135	+115	62-57 SDST
2/8/2023	Aggies	-3	146	-150	+130	63-61 SDST
1/25/2023	Aztecs	-7	145.5	-300	+250	85-75 SDST

San Diego State vs. Utah State: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	San Diego State	Utah State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	74.7 (146)	80.1 (41)
Points Allowed (Rank)	66.4 (32)	69.8 (110)
Rebounds (Rank)	9.8 (83)	8 (236)
3pt Made (Rank)	7 (227)	6.4 (279)
Assists (Rank)	13.1 (171)	16.6 (21)
Turnovers (Rank)	10.6 (112)	10.9 (142)

San Diego State 2023-24 Key Players

Aztecs Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Jaedon LeDee	31	20.9	8.5	1.3	1.2	0.6	0.5
Reese Waters	32	10.2	3.7	1.3	0.6	0.2	1.4
Micah Parrish	32	9.5	4	1.9	1.1	0.4	1.3
Lamont Butler	32	9.1	2.7	2.9	1.5	0.2	0.8
Darrion Trammell	30	7.8	2.3	3.2	1.2	0.1	1

Utah State 2023-24 Key Players

Aggies Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Great Osobor	32	17.9	9.3	2.9	1.3	1.5	0.1
Ian Martinez	31	13	3.6	1.7	0.9	0.8	1.5
Darius Brown II	32	12.6	4.4	6.5	1.5	0.2	1.9
Mason Falslev	31	11.6	4.4	2.5	1.3	0.2	0.7
Josh Uduje	32	8.8	2.7	0.9	0.8	0.3	0.8