Baylor vs. Texas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 2

Updated Sep. 2, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Texas State Bobcats (0-0) are facing tough odds as 27.5-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Saturday, September 2, 2023 against the Baylor Bears (0-0). The over/under is set at 59 points for the game.

The Bears scored 32.2 points per game (38th in college football) and conceded 26.8 (67th) last year, finishing 6-7 and losing the Armed Forces Bowl. The Bobcats scored 21.1 points per game (111th in college football) and allowed 26.3 (63rd) last year, going 4-8 and falling short of a bowl appearance.

Baylor vs. Texas State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 2, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas
TV: ESPN+
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Baylor vs Texas State Betting Information updated as of September 2, 2023, 1:46 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Baylor	-27.5 (-110)	-4083	+1480	59	-110	-110

Baylor vs. Texas State Prediction

Pick ATS: Texas State (+27.5)
Pick OU: Under (59)
Prediction: Baylor 40, Texas State 14

Learn more about the Baylor Bears vs. the Texas State Bobcats game on FOX Sports!

Baylor vs. Texas State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Bears 43, Bobcats 16.
The Bears have a 97.6% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bobcats hold a 6.3% implied probability.
Baylor won seven games against the spread last season, failing to cover six times.
Texas State went 5-7-0 ATS last year.

Baylor vs. Texas State: Head-to-Head

Over their last two meetings, Baylor has put up two wins versus Texas State.
The two teams have never hit the over on the point total while sharing an even 1-1 record in their meetings against the spread.
Texas State has been outscored by 44 points in its last two tilts versus Baylor.

Baylor vs. Texas State: 2022 Stats Comparison

	Baylor	Texas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	32.2 (41)	21.1 (114)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	26.8 (78)	26.3 (52)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	17 (54)	17 (54)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	19 (51)	20 (42)

Baylor 2022 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Richard Reese	RB	972 YDS / 14 TD / 74.8 YPG / 4.9 YPC
Blake Shapen	QB	2,790 YDS (63.3%) / 18 TD / 10 INT 96 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 7.4 RUSH YPG
Qualan Jones	RB	462 YDS / 7 TD / 35.5 YPG / 5.0 YPC 23 REC / 135 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 10.4 REC YPG
Monaray Baldwin	WR	33 REC / 565 YDS / 4 TD / 43.5 YPG
Al Walcott	S	66 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 1 INT
Dillon Doyle	LB	82 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Devin Lemear	S	52 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Christian Morgan	S	45 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 3 INT

Texas State 2022 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Layne Hatcher	QB	2,654 YDS (61.9%) / 19 TD / 10 INT -151 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -12.6 RUSH YPG
Lincoln Pare	RB	760 YDS / 5 TD / 63.3 YPG / 4.4 YPC 29 REC / 229 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 19.1 REC YPG
Ashtyn Hawkins	WR	55 REC / 582 YDS / 7 TD / 48.5 YPG
Javen Banks	WR	19 REC / 271 YDS / 4 TD / 22.6 YPG
Sione Tupou	LB	55 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 2 INT
Levi Bell	DT	45 TKL / 10.0 TFL / 5.0 SACK
Tory Spears	S	58 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Jordan Revels	OLB	44 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK