Troy vs. Texas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 28

Updated Oct. 28, 2023 3:07 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Troy Trojans (5-2) bring the No.17 scoring defense in college football into a matchup with the Texas State Bobcats (5-2), who have the No. 11 scoring offense, on Saturday, October 28, 2023. The Trojans are 6.5-point favorites. The game has a point total set at 53.

The Trojans won versus the Army Black Knights in their last game, 19-0. The Bobcats beat the UL Monroe Warhawks, 21-20, in their last game.

Troy vs. Texas State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Location: Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium in San Marcos, Texas
TV: ESPN+
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Troy vs Texas State Betting Information updated as of October 28, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Troy	-6.5 (-114)	-251	+204	53	-110	-110

Troy vs. Texas State Prediction

Pick ATS: Troy (-6.5)
Pick OU: Under (53)
Prediction: Troy 30, Texas State 19

Learn more about the Troy Trojans vs. the Texas State Bobcats game on FOX Sports!

Troy vs. Texas State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Trojans 30, Bobcats 23.
The Trojans have a 71.5% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bobcats have a 32.9% implied probability.
Troy has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
Texas State has put together a 3-3-0 ATS record so far this season.

Troy vs. Texas State: Head-to-Head

Troy owns a 2-0 record against Texas State in their last two matchups.
In those games against Troy, the Bobcats have covered two times while outpacing the point total on one occasion.
Over their last two head-to-head matchups, Troy has scored 48 points, while Texas State has compiled 42.

Troy vs. Texas State: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Troy	Texas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	26.6 (91)	38.3 (17)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	17.4 (14)	28.4 (83)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	13 (104)	11 (80)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	11 (51)	11 (51)

Troy 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kimani Vidal	RB	951 YDS / 6 TD / 135.9 YPG / 6.2 YPC 10 REC / 140 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 20.0 REC YPG
Gunnar Watson	QB	1,765 YDS (59.4%) / 11 TD / 4 INT
Chris Lewis	WR	15 REC / 363 YDS / 4 TD / 51.9 YPG
Jabre Barber	WR	29 REC / 455 YDS / 2 TD / 65.0 YPG
Jayden McDonald	LB	42 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Javon Solomon	LB	22 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 5.5 SACK
Richard Jibunor	LB	21 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK
Reddy Steward	CB	20 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

Texas State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
TJ Finley	QB	1,842 YDS (68.9%) / 14 TD / 3 INT 43 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 6.1 RUSH YPG
Ismail Mahdi	RB	726 YDS / 8 TD / 103.7 YPG / 7.4 YPC 7 REC / 84 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 12.0 REC YPG
Joey Hobert	WR	48 REC / 612 YDS / 6 TD / 87.4 YPG
Kole Wilson	WR	30 REC / 373 YDS / 4 TD / 53.3 YPG
Brian Holloway	LB	54 TKL / 8.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Ben Bell	DE	30 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
Shawn Holton	S	42 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Kaleb Culp	S	35 TKL / 0.0 TFL