Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 25

Updated Apr. 25, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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Tyler O'Neill and the Boston Red Sox hit the field on Thursday at Progressive Field against Triston McKenzie, who gets the start for the Cleveland Guardians. First pitch is at 1:10 PM ET. The Red Sox are +111 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the Guardians (-131). Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 7.5 runs for the contest.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Cleveland Guardians.

Guardians vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 54%, Red Sox 46%

Guardians vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Guardians have been favorites in 15 games this season and won 10 (66.7%) of those contests.
• Cleveland has entered 10 games this season favored by -131 or more and is 8-2 in those contests.
• The Guardians have a 56.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have come away with seven wins in the 14 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Boston has won three of five games when listed as at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

BOS 4 · CLE 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

+109

o7.5

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

-1.5

-130

u7.5

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians were the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-1 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Guardians' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Josh Naylor leads the Guardians with six home runs and 20 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in the majors, Naylor's home run total ranks him ninth, and his RBI tally puts him 10th.
• Steven Kwan's .347 batting average leads his team.
• Kwan ranks 115th in home runs and 179th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Jose Ramirez is hitting .240 with five doubles, a triple, four home runs and two walks.
• Ramirez has at least one base hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with two doubles, a home run and four RBI.
• Andres Gimenez is hitting .258 with five doubles, a triple and four walks.

Guardians Team Props

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 4-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Red Sox are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• O'Neill has racked up a team-best seven home runs.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, O'Neill's home run total ranks fourth and his RBI tally ranks 156th.
• O'Neill has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Jarren Duran's .257 batting average paces his team.
• Duran ranks 186th in home runs and 133rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Wilyer Abreu is hitting .322 with seven doubles, two home runs and nine walks.
• Masataka Yoshida has three doubles, two home runs and six walks while hitting .250.

Red Sox Team Props

Red Sox vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians - 04/25/2024