Red Sox vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 28

Updated Apr. 28, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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The Boston Red Sox and Chicago Cubs will send Tanner Houck and Hayden Wesneski, respectively, out to start when the two clubs face off on Sunday at Fenway Park, at 7:10 PM ET. The favored Red Sox have -147 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Cubs, who are listed at +124. Boston (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 9.5 runs for the game (with -102 odds to hit the over and -119 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Cubs vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Boston Red Sox's 17-0 Chicago Cubs.

Red Sox vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Red Sox vs. Cubs Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Cubs 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 57%, Cubs 43%

Red Sox vs. Cubs Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have won seven out of the 11 games, or 63.6%, in which they've been favored.
• Boston has a record of 3-1 when favored by -147 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 59.5%.
• The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (58.8%) in those games.
• This year, Chicago has won two of four games when listed as at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 44.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

CHC 4 · BOS 5

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Chicago Cubs

CHC

+1.5

+127

o9.5

Boston Red Sox

BOS

-1.5

-152

u9.5

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have been named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only once in the last 10 games, and won that matchup.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
• The Red Sox have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Tyler O'Neill leads the Red Sox with nine home runs.
• O'Neill has collected a hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .316 with a double, four home runs, five walks and six RBI.
• Jarren Duran has six doubles, two triples, a home run and 10 walks while hitting .252.
• Duran is 209th in home runs in the majors, and 114th in RBI.
• Wilyer Abreu has seven doubles, two home runs and nine walks while hitting .309.
• Masataka Yoshida has a club-leading .282 batting average.

Red Sox Team Props

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• The Cubs have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Cubs have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Nico Hoerner is hitting .273 with seven doubles, a triple and 10 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .354.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Hoerner is 311th in home runs and 205th in RBI.
• Christopher Morel is hitting .219 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs and 11 walks.
• Morel is currently 81st in home runs and 94th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Michael Busch leads the Cubs in long balls (six), runs batted in (17) and has generated a team-high batting average of .287.
• Mike Tauchman is batting .281 with five doubles, two home runs and 15 walks.

Cubs Team Props

Cubs vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Boston Red Sox's 17-0 Chicago Cubs.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox - 04/28/2024