Celtics vs. Heat prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 21

Updated Apr. 21, 2024 9:22 a.m. ET

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The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat are meeting in the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 1 up next. Sunday's game between the Celtics and the Heat sees the Celtics as a double-digit favorite by 14 points. A 209-point over/under is set for the game.

Check out everything you need to know about the Celtics-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 1:00 PM ET
• Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
• TV: ABC

Celtics vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 14)
O/U Pick: Over (209)
Score Prediction: Celtics 119 - Heat 105

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Insights

• The Celtics and their opponent have combined to score over 209 points, the current matchup's total, in 76 of 82 games this year.
• This year, 58 of the Heat's 82 games have had a combined total of more than 209 points scored.
• Between them, these two teams average 21.7 more points per game (230.7) than this game's total (209).
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 8.6 more points per game (217.6) than this matchup's total of 209 points.
• Boston has been victorious in 62, or 79.5%, of the 78 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Miami has been victorious in 11, or 31.4%, of the 35 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Boston has a 3-0 record in the last three head-to-head meetings with Miami.
• The Heat have an advantage against the spread (2-1) when squaring off against the Celtics.

FINAL

MIA 94 · BOS 114

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Heat

MIA

+14.5

+829

o210.5

Boston Celtics

BOS

-14.5

-1429

u210.5

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics have gone 7-3 over their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.
• Boston's average total over the last 10 games is 14.7 points more than the 209 total listed for this matchup.
• The Celtics have played 82 games, with 42 wins against the spread.
• This season, Boston has an ATS record of 9-5 in its 14 games as a favorite of 14 points or more.
• Celtics games this year have hit the over on 43 of 82 set point totals.
• The Celtics score 12.2 more points per game (120.6) than the Heat allow (108.4).
• When Boston puts up more than 108.4 points, it is 40-25-3 against the spread and 58-10 overall.
• The Celtics make 48.7% of their shots from the field this season, which is two percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed to their opponents (46.7%).
• The Celtics have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 23 times in 41 opportunities at home, and they've covered 19 times in 41 opportunities in road games.
• In terms of over/unders, Boston hits the over more often when playing at home, as it has exceeded the total 22 times in 41 opportunities this season (53.7%). On the road, it has hit the over 21 times in 41 opportunities (51.2%).
• The Celtics have fared better as a moneyline favorite at home, putting up a home record of 37-4, compared to going 25-12 in away games.

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jayson Tatum posts 26.9 points, 4.9 assists and 8.1 boards per game.
• Jaylen Brown posts 23 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest, shooting 49.9% from the floor and 35.4% from downtown with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Derrick White puts up 15.2 points, 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists per game, shooting 46.1% from the floor and 39.6% from beyond the arc with 2.7 made 3-pointers per game.
• Kristaps Porzingis averages 20.1 points, 7.2 rebounds and 2 assists per contest, shooting 51.6% from the field and 37.5% from downtown with 1.9 made 3-pointers per game.
• Jrue Holiday averages 12.5 points, 5.4 boards and 4.8 assists per contest, shooting 48% from the floor and 42.9% from beyond the arc (seventh in NBA) with 2 made treys per game.

Celtics Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Miami has averaged a total of 215.7 combined points over its last 10 games, 6.7 greater than this game's over/under of 209.
• Against the spread, the Heat are 41-39-2 this season.
• Heat games this season have gone over the point total 42.7% of the time (35 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Heat's 110.1 points per game are just 0.9 more points than the 109.2 the Celtics give up to opponents.
• Miami is 28-12-1 against the spread and 33-8 overall when it scores more than 109.2 points.
• The Heat have shot at a 46.5% clip from the field this season, 1.2 percentage points above the 45.3% shooting opponents of the Celtics have averaged.
• The Heat's winning percentage against the spread at home is .390 (16-25-0). Away, it is .610 (25-14-2).
• Miami's games have finished above the over/under more often at home (21 times out of 41) than on the road (14 of 41) this season.
• The Heat's winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .710 (22-9), and on the road it is .812 (13-3).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo is putting up 19.3 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game. He's also draining 52.1% of his shots from the floor.
• The Heat are receiving 11.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Jaime Jaquez this season.
• The Heat are receiving 12.9 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from Duncan Robinson this season.
• The Heat are receiving 20.8 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game from Tyler Herro this season.
• Caleb Martin is averaging 10 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game. He is sinking 43.1% of his shots from the floor and 34.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 treys per contest.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics - 04/21/2024