Pacers vs. Bucks prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 21

Updated Apr. 21, 2024 3:22 p.m. ET

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The Indiana Pacers will meet the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Pacers are currently slim 1-point favorites against the Bucks. A 231.5-point over/under has been set for the game.

Here is everything you need to know about the Pacers-Bucks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Pacers vs. Bucks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
• Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• TV: TNT and BSIN

Pacers vs. Bucks Prediction

ATS Pick: Bucks (+ 1)
O/U Pick: Over (231.5)
Score Prediction: Bucks 120 - Pacers 119

Pacers vs. Bucks Betting Insights

• Pacers games have gone over 231.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 58 times (out of 82) this season.
• This season, 47 of the Bucks' 82 total matchups have gone over 231.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 10.8 more points per game, 242.3, than this matchup's over/under of 231.5 points.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 236.6 points per game, 5.1 more than the point total for this matchup.
• Indiana has been victorious in 26, or 60.5%, of the 43 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Milwaukee has won in three, or 21.4%, of the 14 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Indiana has a 4-1 record in the last five head-to-head games against Milwaukee.
• The Pacers also have a 4-1 record against the spread when taking on the Bucks.

FINAL

IND 94 · MIL 109

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Indiana Pacers

IND

-1.5

-119

o230

Milwaukee Bucks

MIL

+1.5

-101

u230

Pacers Recent Trends

• The Pacers have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their past 10 games.
• Indiana and its opponents have combined to score an average of 234.8 points over its last 10 games, 3.3 more than the 231.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Pacers have 44 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• Indiana has been favored by 1 point or more 42 times this season and are 20-22 ATS in those contests.
• Pacers games this year have eclipsed the over/under 52.4% of the time (43 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Pacers put up 6.9 more points per game (123.3) than the Bucks give up (116.4).
• Indiana is 40-15 against the spread and 42-13 overall when scoring more than 116.4 points.
• The Pacers are shooting 50.7% from the field this season, 3.7 percentage points higher than the 47% the Bucks allow to opponents.
• When playing at home, the Pacers sport the same winning percentage against the spread as they do in road games (.537).
• Indiana has hit the over on the total in a higher percentage of home games (61%) than road games (43.9%).
• In home games, the Pacers have won more often as a moneyline favorite, producing a record of 18-11 (.621). In road games, they are 8-6 (.571) as a moneyline favorite.

Pacers Recent Stats

Pacers Leaders

• Pascal Siakam puts up 21.7 points, 7.1 boards and 4.3 assists per game, shooting 53.6% from the floor and 34.6% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made treys per contest.
• Tyrese Haliburton posts 20.1 points, 3.9 rebounds and 10.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• Myles Turner averages 17.1 points, 1.3 assists and 6.9 boards per contest.
• T.J. McConnell averages 10.2 points, 5.5 assists and 2.7 boards.
• Aaron Nesmith averages 12.2 points, 1.5 assists and 3.8 rebounds.

Pacers Player Props

Bucks Recent Trends

• The Bucks are 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their past 10 games.
• Milwaukee has averaged a total of 222.8 combined points over its last 10 games, 8.7 fewer than this matchup's over/under of 231.5.
• Against the spread, the Bucks are 33-46-3 this season.
• Milwaukee has been underdogs by 1 point or more 14 times this season and are 5-9 ATS in those games.
• Bucks games this year have gone over the total in 40 of 82 opportunities (48.8%).
• The Bucks average only 1.2 fewer points per game (119) than the Pacers allow (120.2).
• Milwaukee has put together a 20-14-1 ATS record and a 30-5 overall record in games it scores more than 120.2 points.
• The Bucks' 48.7% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Pacers have given up to their opponents.
• Against the spread, the Bucks have been better at home (19-22-1) than on the road (14-24-2).
• In terms of the over/under, Milwaukee's games have finished over 23 of 42 times at home (54.8%), and 17 of 40 on the road (42.5%).
• This year the Bucks are 29-10 at home when moneyline favorites (.744 winning percentage). On the road they are 16-12 (.571).

Bucks Recent Stats

Bucks Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Giannis Antetokounmpo gets the Bucks 30.4 points, 11.5 rebounds and 6.5 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.
• Damian Lillard is putting up 24.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 7 assists per game. He's draining 42.4% of his shots from the floor and 35.4% from 3-point range, with 3 triples per contest (ninth in NBA).
• Bobby Portis gives the Bucks 13.8 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game while delivering 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• The Bucks are receiving 12.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Brook Lopez this season.
• Khris Middleton gets the Bucks 15.1 points, 4.7 rebounds and 5.3 assists per contest while posting 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Bucks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 04/21/2024