Thunder vs. Pelicans Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 27

Updated Apr. 27, 2024 3:22 p.m. ET

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In Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Oklahoma City Thunder will face the New Orleans Pelicans. Saturday's matchup between the Thunder and the Pelicans features the Thunder as tight 2-point favorites. The point total for the game is 209.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Thunder-Pelicans game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Pelicans Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 3:30 PM ET
• Where: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana
• TV: TNT, BSOK, and BSNO

Thunder vs. Pelicans Prediction

ATS Pick: Pelicans (+ 2)
O/U Pick: Over (209.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 115 - Pelicans 114

Thunder vs. Pelicans Betting Insights

• This season, the Thunder games have finished over 209.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 74 (out of 82) times.
• The Pelicans games have gone over 209.5 total points scored in 66 of 82 total matchups this year.
• These two teams average a combined 235.2 points per game, 25.7 more points than the over/under of 209.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 223.4 points per game, 13.9 more than the over/under in this matchup.
• Oklahoma City has won 47, or 77%, of the 61 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• New Orleans has won in 19, or 57.6%, of the 33 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Oklahoma City has come out on top in four of its last five head-to-head meetings with New Orleans.
• The Thunder have an advantage against the spread as well (3-2) when taking the court against the Pelicans.
• The Thunder beat the point spread in their previous four games, and were the favorites in all of those games.

FINAL

OKC 106 · NOP 85

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Oklahoma City Thunder

OKC

-2.0

-129

o209.5

New Orleans Pelicans

NOP

+2.0

+107

u209.5

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 223.8 points in its last 10 games, 14.3 more than the 209.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Thunder are 46-35-1 against the spread this year.
• This season, Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 31-25 in its 56 games as a favorite of 2 points or more.
• Thunder games this year have gone over the point total 45 times in 82 opportunities (54.9%).
• The 120.1 points per game the Thunder record are 9.4 more points than the Pelicans allow (110.7).
• Oklahoma City has a 43-22 record against the spread and a 52-13 record overall when putting up more than 110.7 points.
• This season, the Thunder have a 49.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.5% higher than the 46.4% of shots the Pelicans' opponents have knocked down.
• Against the spread, the Thunder have performed better when playing at home, covering 27 times in 41 home games, and 19 times in 41 road games.
• At home, Oklahoma City eclipses the over/under 51.2% of the time (21 of 41 games). It hits the over more consistently on the road, topping the total in 58.5% of games (24 of 41).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have picked up the win in 30 of 35 games at home, good for a .857 winning percentage. They have won 17 of 26 games away from home (.654) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 30.1 points, 6.2 assists and 5.5 rebounds per contest.
• Chet Holmgren puts up 16.5 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 2.3 blocks (fourth in league).
• Jalen Williams puts up 19.1 points, 4.5 assists and 4 boards per contest.
• Josh Giddey averages 12.3 points, 6.4 boards and 4.8 assists per game, shooting 47.5% from the field and 33.7% from downtown with 1 made 3-pointers per game.
• Luguentz Dort averages 10.9 points, 1.4 assists and 3.6 rebounds.

Thunder Player Props

Pelicans Recent Trends

• The Pelicans are 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their past 10 games.
• New Orleans and its opponents have combined to score an average of 218.5 combined points over its last 10 games, 9.0 more than the 209.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Pelicans have 42 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• New Orleans is 15-8-1 ATS when underdogs by 2 points or more this year.
• The Pelicans have hit the over 43.9% of the time this year (36 of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Pelicans score an average of 115.1 points per game, only 2.4 more points than the 112.7 the Thunder allow.
• When it scores more than 112.7 points, New Orleans is 31-13 against the spread and 34-11 overall.
• The Pelicans have shot at a 48.6% clip from the field this season, 3.1 percentage points greater than the 45.5% shooting opponents of the Thunder have averaged.
• Against the spread, the Pelicans have had better results away (23-16-3) than at home (19-20-0) .
• New Orleans' games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (19 times out of 40) than away (17 of 42) this season.
• The Pelicans, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (15-13) than away (15-6) this season.

Pelicans Recent Stats

Pelicans Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Brandon Ingram gets the Pelicans 20.8 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5.7 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• The Pelicans are getting 20 points, 4.3 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game from CJ McCollum this season.
• Jonas Valanciunas gives the Pelicans 12.2 points, 8.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest while putting up 0.4 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Herbert Jones is putting up 11 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. He is sinking 49.8% of his shots from the field and 41.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 triples per game.
• Trey Murphy III gets the Pelicans 14.8 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game while posting 0.9 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Pelicans Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans - 04/27/2024