The big winners: Oklahoma State (19th to 12th), Penn State (18th to 14th), Wisconsin (20th to 16th)

The big losers: USC (9th to 18th), Miami (14th to 20th), Houston (15th to 24th)

1. Florida, Score: 0.9833

As sluggish as the Gators have been, they remain a firm No. 1. Both human polls have them in the top spot, as do three of the six computers. Realistically, it would take a miracle for Florida to lose to FIU or Florida State at home, but if the Gators did, that would be enough to potentially get knocked out of the national title chase if they went on to beat Alabama. The computers wouldn't take too kindly to a loss to the Golden Panthers or the weakened 'Noles.

Predicted wins: FIU, Florida State, SEC Championship

Predicted losses: None

Predicted final record: 13-0

Predicted bowl: BCS Championship

Toughest remaining tests: Florida State, SEC Championship

2. Alabama, Score: 0.9521

Being ranked first by three computers is enough to overcome being ranked third by both human polls. The Tide still controls its place in the national title chase, but unlike Florida, it still might be able to sneak into the BCS Championship with a loss. If 'Bama loses at Auburn but comes back to beat the No. 1 team impressively, it might be tough to vote in TCU or Cincinnati.

Predicted wins: Chattanooga, at Auburn

Predicted losses: SEC championship

Predicted final record: 12-1

Predicted bowl: Sugar Bowl

Toughest remaining tests: at Auburn

3. Texas, Score: 0.9261

Until the BCS title game, Texas just has to worry about a surprising showing by an opponent. (Tom Pennington / Getty Images)

The only worry is the lucky punch. Kansas hasn't shown anything on offense lately, but it has the potential to light up the scoreboard with good passing weapons, while Texas A&M has a flaky enough offense that it could go ballistic in the home rivalry game. The other concern might be the Nebraska defense, if the Huskers don't blow it against Kansas State. The last thing Texas wants to deal with is a Bo Pelini-coached defense that's told it doesn't have a chance.

Predicted wins: Kansas, at Texas A&M, Big 12 championship

Predicted losses: None

Predicted final record: 13-0

Predicted bowl: BCS Championship

Toughest remaining tests: at Texas A&M

4. TCU, Score: 0.8698

The Horned Frogs made their whopper of a statement in a blowout win against Utah and ... nothing. While it was an impressive performance, they might be overlooked for the No. 4 spot if Cincinnati performs well against Pitt. However, the win over the Utes was enough to cement the Frogs into the automatic bid for the non-BCS conference winner ahead of Boise State. Fourth in four of the computer polls, after being ranked No. 4 by five of them last week, they need some luck.

Predicted wins: at Wyoming, New Mexico

Predicted losses: None

Predicted final record: 12-0

Predicted bowl: Sugar Bowl

Toughest remaining tests: at Wyoming

5. Cincinnati, Score: 0.8536

The computers continue to be big fans, putting the Bearcats No. 3, but that could quickly fade away with a loss at Pitt to close out the Big East season or with a gaffe against an Illinois team with more talent than it has shown. Would they get in with an at-large bid with one loss? It would be an interesting debate with the Boise State fans, but the bigger overall question might be the national championship chase. If a miracle happens and there's an opening up top with a Texas loss or a one-loss SEC champion, because of the computers and because of how well Pitt is playing, there's a good shot an unbeaten Bearcats team could move up to No. 2 with the right breaks.

Mardy Gilyard should be happy to know the computers like his Bearcats. (Andy Lyons / Getty Images)

Predicted wins: Illinois

Predicted losses: at Pitt

Predicted final record: 11-1

Predicted bowl: Meineke Car Care Bowl

Toughest remaining tests: at Pitt

6. Boise State, Score: 0.8130

The Nevada game coming up should earn more respect than it's going to get. It's 100 percent about style points now. TCU isn't likely to lose again, so Boise State's debate will be with the ACC's second team (it wins that fight), Iowa or Penn State (it loses that one) and a Stanford team that would send 12 fans to Glendale (flip a coin on that if there's a chance for a Stanford-Iowa matchup). The computers knocked the Broncos down from seventh to sixth.

Predicted wins: at Utah State, Nevada, New Mexico State

Predicted losses: None

Predicted final record: 12-0

Predicted bowl: Fiesta Bowl

Toughest remaining tests: Nevada

7. Georgia Tech, Score: 0.7607

Can Georgia Tech get an at-large bid at 12-2 with a loss in the ACC championship? Not at 11-3, with a loss to Georgia, but maybe at 12-2 with a close loss to a hot Clemson. The Yellow Jackets moved up from seventh to sixth according to the computers, but are still firmly entrenched at No. 7 in the human polls with little room to move without some major upsets and a Cincinnati loss.

Predicted wins: Georgia, ACC championship

Predicted losses: None

Predicted final record: 12-1

Predicted bowl: Orange Bowl

Toughest remaining tests: Georgia

8. LSU, Score: 0.6648

On an island, LSU is bound for the Capital One Bowl. It can't get into the BCS, Florida and Alabama will take up the SEC's two spots and it's almost guaranteed to play on New Year's Day no matter what. The Tigers could lose to both Ole Miss and Arkansas, and at worst, end up in the Cotton Bowl. The humans aren't fans after the close call against Louisiana Tech, but the two losses came to Florida and Alabama; the computers like that.

Predicted wins: at Ole Miss, Arkansas

Predicted losses: None

Predicted final Record: 10-2

Predicted bowl: Capital One Bowl

Toughest remaining tests: at Ole Miss

9. Pitt, Score: 0.6569

The Panthers are in the discussion, but if they go 10-2 with a loss to Cincinnati, it likely won't be enough to earn an at-large BCS slot. The Backyard Brawl with West Virginia doesn't really matter; it's a one-game season. If they beat Cincinnati, they'll earn the Big East's BCS bid. On a six-game winning streak with a nationally televised win over Notre Dame, Pitt showed everyone how good it is. Now the Panthers get two big chances to make even bigger statements to both the humans and the computers.

Predicted wins: at West Virginia , Cincinnati

Predicted losses: None

Predicted final record: 11-1

Predicted bowl: Orange Bowl

Toughest remaining tests: at West Virginia, Cincinnati

10. Ohio State, Score: 0.6495

It's funny how everyone refuses to cement Ohio State in the Rose Bowl as if there's some chance of sneaking into the BCS Championship. With the Buckeyes ranked 11th by the computers and with two losses, it's relatively safe to say that they can be prepared to leave Pasadena early in the first week of January instead of Jan. 8.

Predicted wins: Michigan

Predicted losses: None

Predicted final record: 10-2

Predicted bowl: Rose Bowl

Toughest remaining tests: None

In range

11. Oregon, Score: 0.6265

12. Oklahoma State, Score: 0.5628

13. Iowa, Score: 0.5318

14. Penn State, Score: 0.4529

15. Virginia Tech, Score: 0.4036

16. Wisconsin, Score: 0.3583

17. Stanford, Score: 0.3406

18. USC, Score: 0.2714

19. Oregon State, Score: 0.2487

20. Miami, Score: 0.1936