Iowa helps bring SEC-Big 12 battle one step closer
by Don Borst, Special to FOXSports.com
We learned Saturday that the BCS championship game will be between an SEC team and a Big 12 team, almost no matter what happens the rest of the way. We don't know if it's going to be Alabama vs. Texas Tech, or Florida vs. Oklahoma, or if Texas can sneak in there, but the number of variables have shrunken significantly thanks to Daniel Murray's last-second 31-yard field goal in Kinnick Stadium.
Hey, this is not meant to dump on Penn State. The Nittany Lions are having a great season, and they deserve to go to the Rose Bowl.
Bowl season roundup
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Bowl recaps and analysis:
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EagleBank: Wake 29, Navy 19 | CFN
New Mexico: Colo. St. 40, Fresno St. 35
St. Petersburg: S. Florida 41, Memphis 14
Las Vegas: Arizona 31, BYU 21 | CFN
New Orleans: SMU 30, Troy 27 (OT) | CFN
Poinsettia: TCU 17, Boise St. 16 | CFN
Hawaii: Notre Dame 49, Hawaii 21 | CFN
Motor City: FAU 24, Cen. Mich. 21 | CFN
Meineke: W. Virginia 31, UNC 30 | CFN
Champs Sports: Fla. St. 42, Wis. 13 | CFN
Emerald: Cal 24, Miami 17 | CFN
Independence: La. Tech 17, NIU 10 | CFN
Papajohns.com: Rutgers 29, N.C. St. 23
Alamo: Mizzou 30, N'west. 23 (OT) | CFN
Humanitarian: Maryland 42, Nevada 35
Texas: Rice 38, W. Michigan 14
Holiday: Oregon 42, Oklahoma St. 31 | CFN
Armed Forces: Houston 34, Air Force 28
Sun: Oregon St. 3, Pittsburgh 0 | CFN
Music City: Vandy 16, BC 14 | CFN
Insight: Kansas 42, Minnesota 21
Chick-fil-A: LSU 38, Georgia Tech 3
Outback: Iowa 31, South Carolina 10 | CFN
Capital One: Georgia 24, MSU 12 | CFN
Gator: Nebraska 26, Clemson 21
Rose: USC 38, Penn St. 24 | Analysis
Orange: Va. Tech 20, Cincinnati 7
Cotton: Ole Miss 47, Texas Tech 34
Liberty: Kentucky 25, East Carolina 19
Sugar: Utah 31, Alabama 17
International: UConn 38, Buffalo 20
Fiesta: Texas 24, Ohio St. 21 | Analysis
GMAC: Tulsa 45, Ball St. 13
BCS title: Florida 24, Oklahoma 14
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But we were cringing at the possibility of spending the month of December inundated with the notion that poor Joe Pa and his program could finish undefeated without a national championship for the fifth time (joining the 1968, 1969, 1973, and 1994 seasons).
And let's face it: The 2008 season is all about the SEC and the Big 12. Or is the Big 12 and the SEC?
The dream matchup, at least at this point, is Alabama vs. Texas Tech, since each team continued to play undefeated football Saturday. But that could easily change, largely because the top teams still have big showdowns remaining.
After the way Alabama overcame LSU in overtime, and the way Texas Tech obliterated Oklahoma State, the next monster showdown of the season has to wait until Nov. 22, when Tech visits Oklahoma, with the Big 12 South championship possibly at stake. We say "possibly" because of the strange situation of a potential unbreakable three-way triangle of a tie.
Texas Tech beat Texas, Texas beat Oklahoma, and if Oklahoma beats Tech, and they all finish 11-1 with a 7-1 conference record, they would be Big 12 South Division tri-champions and the team that would go into the conference championship game would be whoever the BCS says.
Yes, BCS ranking is the tiebreaker, and it sure seems as though Oklahoma would vault over Texas if the Sooners finish so strongly.
At any rate, the way this is shaking out indicates we'd have to see a succession of unthinkable upsets to keep a Big 12 team out of the national championship game against the SEC champion. It's like this:
Here's how we expect it to shake out:
All-Big 12 title game?
It could happen. Of course, lots of things could still happen.
But consider that if Texas Tech or Oklahoma runs the table and Florida gets tagged with a second loss before facing and beating Alabama in the SEC championship game, we could see Texas sneak into the title game for a rematch with the Big 12 champion.
Beavers and the Roses
Oregon State beat UCLA, 34-6, and by winning six of its past seven games, has the inside track on USC. This despite the Beavers' three losses including a 45-14 beatdown at Penn State back on Sept. 6.
So, now that the Nittany Lions are almost surely headed for the Rose Bowl (as long as they can beat Indiana and Michigan State), they face the prospect of a no-win opportunity against OSU in Pasadena. The red-hot Beavers would need to lose to California, Arizona, or Oregon in order for the Rose Bowl to invite one-loss USC for what would be a memorable New Year's Day matchup.
Interestingly, the only other time Penn State has gotten to the Rose Bowl as a member of the Big Ten, the Lions were disappointed to square off against a three-loss Oregon squad (1994 season).
Arizona breaks bowl drought
Arizona emerged from nine years of bowl-less seasons Saturday, while Vanderbilt lost its fourth straight game and watched its bowl hopes remain in limbo (if not worse).
Vandy, despite its much-feted 5-0 start, now needs to beat at least one (and possibly two) of Kentucky, Tennessee, or Wake Forest to break their 25-year bowl drought. Arizona moved to 6-3 by punking Washington State, 59-28.
MWC and MAC add pelts
The Mountain West and Mid-American conferences continued their stunning seasons, with Wyoming winning at Tennessee, and Western Michigan beating defending Big Ten champion Illinois. That's the fourth time this season that a MAC team has beaten a Big Ten team (Michigan, and Indiana twice, are the others), as well wins over Pittsburgh, Syracuse, and both Army and Navy.
The MWC, meanwhile, can count victories in 2008 over Michigan, UCLA, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona State, Oregon State, and now Tennessee. That was otherwise-woeful Wyoming (the eighth-best team in the MWC) who went to Rocky Top and came home with a 13-7 triumph.
Heisman update
The Heisman Trophy race is very tough to handicap this year. Consider that earlier, we were anxious to give our vote to Missouri quarterback Chase Daniel, and then Texas quarterback Colt McCoy, and at various times we have loved watching Oklahoma's Sam Bradford, Florida's Tim Tebow, and for a short while, even running backs Knowshon Moreno (Georgia) and Javon Ringer (Michigan State) ... and we cannot ignore Texas Tech WR Michael Crabtree.
Still, Red Raiders quarterback Graham Harrell has faced three ranked opponents in a row (Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma State), and has accounted for 1,316 yards with absolutely incredible 110-for-145 (76%) accuracy. That's with 13 touchdowns and no interceptions.
If he can keep that up against Oklahoma (and the Sooners defense has given up at least four touchdowns in five games in a row), it will be almost impossible not to give the trophy to him.
Trojans own November
USC won its sixth game in a row, pushing its average score in that time to 39-4, as they try to make the case that they're the best one-loss team in the country (although there would be plenty of argument over that in Norman, Okla., Gainsville, Fla., and Austin, Texas).
Yet, of all the impressive accomplishments in the Pete Carroll Era, perhaps the most eye-popping is the Trojans' mark in November: 24-0. The 17-3 victory over Cal was impressive and hardly ever in doubt, even though the Bears had a touchdown called back by a weak holding penalty, and replays showed that USC's first TD was actually an incomplete pass.
This week's big games
There are no monster showdowns this week, with Oklahoma and Texas Tech both taking the week off, but some key games in which teams will be trying to hold serve:


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