Catching up on college hoops

Published on: February 07, 2013 | Written by: Todd Fuhrman

With national letter of intent day behind us (outside of handing out grades), it's officially become college hoops season on college campuses. Yes, Clay might not agree nor will the throngs of you who see college football as a 365 day a year focus but those of us in the desert realize people now have their eyes trained towards sports next major event: March Madness. There's more parity in college basketball than I remember without a prohibitive favorite like last year's UK edition. Outside of Florida, Indiana, and Michigan it's anyone's guess who else might find themselves on the #1 seed line. Before yesterday, Kansas made this list however a loss to TCU as 18 pt favorites gets you knocked from elite status no matter what. Rather than burden you with a complete list of who's who of players, coaches, and teams think of this as your college basketball crash course letting numbers tell the story

The RPI is good, Ken Pom is better, and while I still don't know what the hell the ESPN Basketball Index really is yet, it won't stop me from using BPI as a metric to grade postseason prospects. Everyone has their own criteria for what makes a tournament resume better than the next and given the watered down product this year, filling out the field of 68 will prove challenging. To make sense of the muddled approach, you'll find 12 bubble worthy teams and my odds for each of them to punch a ticket to the big dance.  For those not interested in teams on the fringe lucky to survive opening weekend, the complete list of college basketball futures is also included below.

Saint Mary’s (Ken Pom 23, ESPN BPI 42)

Good Wins: @BYU
Bad Losses: Pacific (N)

Chance to build resume: 2/14 vs Gonzaga, 2/21 vs BYU, and 2/23 vs Creighton

Odds to make the tournament: -300

Arizona St (Ken Pom 79, ESPN BPI 56)

Good Wins: Arkansas, Colorado, UCLA,
Bad Losses: Depaul

Chance to build resume: 2/23 vs Washington, 2/27 @UCLA, 3/9 @Arizona

Odds to make the tournament: +120

Temple (Ken Pom 68, ESPN BPI 58)

Good Wins: @Villanova, Syracuse, St Louis,
Bad Losses: Canisius, St Bonaventure

Chance to build resume: 3/10 vs VCU

Odds to make the tournament: -160

Indiana St (Ken Pom 67, ESPN BPI 66)

Good Wins: Ole Miss, Miami, @ Wichita St, Creighton
Bad Losses: @Morehead St, @Southern Illinois, @ Drake

Chance to build resume: 2/19 vs Wichita State

Odds to make the tournament: -140

Illinois (Ken Pom 55, ESPN BPI 68)

Good Wins: Butler, @Gonzaga, Ohio St
Bad Losses: @Purdue, Northwestern

Chance to build resume: 2/10 @Minnesota, 2/24 @Michigan, 3/10 @Ohio State

Odds to make the tournament: +180

BYU (Ken Pom 39, ESPN BPI 68)

Good Wins: None
Bad Losses: None

Chance to build resume: 2/21 @St Mary's, 2/28 vs Gonzaga

Odds to make the tournament: -110

Maryland (Ken Pom 54, ESPN BPI 38)

Good Wins: NC State
Bad Losses: None

Chance to build resume: 2/16 vs Duke, 3/6 vs North Carolina, 3/10 @Virginia

Odds to make the tournament: +120

Alabama (Ken Pom 66, ESPN BPI 63)

Good Wins: Villanova, Kentucky, Arkansas
Bad Losses: Dayton, Mercer, Tulane, @Auburn

Chance to build resume: 3/2 @Florida, 3/5 @Ole Miss

Odds to make the tournament: +160

Villanova (Ken Pom 69, ESPN BPI 75)

Good Wins: Louisville, Syracuse
Bad Losses: Columbia, Providence

Chance to build resume: 2/12 @Cincinnati, 2/16 @Uconn, 2/23 vs Marquette, 3/3 @Pittsburgh, 3/6 vs Georgetown

Odds to make the tournament: -115

Bucknell (Ken Pom 58, ESPN BPI 55)

Good Wins: @Purdue, Lasalle,
Bad Losses: @Penn State

Chance to build resume: 2/18 @ Lehigh

Odds to make the tournament: -120 (should be favored to win the Patriot automatic bid)

St Johns (Ken Pom 99, ESPN BPI 89)

Good Wins: @Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Uconn
Bad Losses: @USF, UNC Asheville, Rutgers

Chance to build resume: 2/10 @Syracuse, 2/14 @Louisville, 2/24 Pittsburgh, 3/5 @Notre Dame, 3/9 vs Marquette

Odds to make the tournament: +220

Washington (Ken Pom 85, ESPN BPI 65)

Good Wins: St Louis, @California, @Stanford
Bad Losses: Albany, Nevada, Utah

Chance to build resume: 2/7 @UCLA, 2/13 vs Oregon, 2/20 @Arizona

Odds to make the tournament: +350

All futures odds courtesy of LVH

FLORIDA  4
MICHIGAN  4
INDIANA  5
LOUISVILLE  8
DUKE  8
KANSAS  10
ARIZONA  15
SYRACUSE  20
OHIO ST  25
GONZAGA  25
MIAMI FL  25
KENTUCKY  25
MICHIGAN ST  30
PITTSBURGH  30
MINNESOTA  40
CREIGHTON  50
UCLA  50
BUTLER  50
MISSOURI  60
NORTH CAROLINA ST  60
CINCINNATI  60
NORTH CAROLINA  75
VCU  75
GEORGETOWN  75
UNLV  75
BAYLOR  100
WISCONSIN  100
MEMPHIS  100
NOTRE DAME  100
ST LOUIS  100
SAN DIEGO ST  100
NEW MEXICO  100
OREGON  100
OKLAHOMA ST  100
KANSAS ST  200
ALABAMA  200
WICHITA ST  200
OLE MISS  200
COLORADO ST  200
TEXAS  300
MARQUETTE  300
ILLINOIS  300
FIELD  300
FLORIDA ST  500
IOWA ST  500
BYU  500
ST MARY'S  500
LASALLE  500
OKLAHOMA  500
MARYLAND  500
TENNESSEE  1000
CALIFORNIA  1000
VIRGINIA  1000
WASHINGTON  1000
SETON HALL  1000
ST JOHN'S  1000
VILLANOVA  1000
STANFORD  1000
SOUTHERN MISS  1000
DAVIDSON  1000
OHIO U  1000
TEXAS A&M  1000
BELMONT  1000
XAVIER  1000
ARKANSAS  1000
COLORADO  1000
IOWA  1000
PURDUE  2000
TEMPLE  2000
WEST VIRGINIA  2000
ST JOE'S  2000
MURRAY ST  2000
SOUTH FLORIDA  2000
CLEMSON  2000
GEORGE MASON  2000
GEORGIA TECH  2000
U MASS  2000
DAYTON  3000
NORTHERN IOWA  5000
ST BONAVENTURE  5000
RUTGERS  5000
LONG BEACH ST  5000
LSU  5000
USC  5000
SOUTH CAROLINA  5000
VANDERBILT  9999
DREXEL  9999
MISSISSIPPI ST  9999
PROVIDENCE  9999
OREGON ST  9999
NORTHWESTERN  9999
MARSHALL  9999
GEORGIA  9999
VIRGINIA TECH  9999
HARVARD  9999
DEPAUL  9999
RICHMOND  9999
NEVADA  9999
UTAH ST  9999