I'm betting every first and second round game this year at the LVH Superbook in Las Vegas. (I refuse to call the play-in games the first round). This means I'm betting at least $4800 total. The downside of betting on every first and second round game is, let's be honest, it's pretty much impossible to know very much about all of these teams. Even with my diligent research -- which has consisted of reviewing every team's schedule, most of them anyway -- and then deciding -- when I'm not coming up with insanely good theories about what happened to the Malaysian jet -- who to bet on.
I am not a "sharp" better. Nor am I claiming that by taking these picks you will become wealthy. (I save all those claims for college football, which I actually watch pretty much every game of and have a decent sense of the markets). Note: I am often very wrong about college football as well, this year my Outkick picks finished a very robust 50%. Seriously, exactly even. Last year in college football, I was over 66% though, so there's that.
Basically, I'm a lot like you guys when it comes to March Madness. I like college basketball, but I don't live it or watch every team play. Who has the time to watch basketball on a Wednesday night when you get home and your six and three year old want you to watch Star Wars episode 5 for the 18th time? Plus, my wife goes to bed early and I have to pretend that I'm going to sleep at the same time as her so she is occasionally willing to sleep with me.
As a result, I'm fairly well versed in the SEC and the A-10 basketball, which makes me the only person in America who can say write this sentence.
It wasn't enough for me to risk $4800 total, so I just bet $1000 on Tennessee +2 against Iowa. Yep, I'm all in on Cuonzo Martin's Vols, which is a clear recipe for disaster and makes me question all of my sanity. But I have faith. Tennessee's on a roll and Iowa is collapsing. I think the Vols win outright, which is probably why I should have played the moneyline.
But I didn't, so, anyway, Twitter should be entertaining tonight.
And if Cuonzo Martin costs me a $1k by losing to an inferior Iowa team, then I'm going to just cry myself to sleep tonight. (So, basically, it will be a regular Wednesday night for me).