Vegas Bracketology 2.0

Published on: February 28, 2013 | Written by: Todd Fuhrman

Perception and reality rarely come to a confluence in sports gambling.  The media hypes teams just as gamblers are ready to bet against them while the schools with their back's against the wall (like Minnesota) Tuesday, end up offering the outstanding betting value. Despite the hate mail, "your a moron" tweets, and expletive laced tirades from fans, we figured the Vegas bracket sparked enough good discussion to make a weekly appearance from now until selection Sunday. Again this week I'll tell Butler Bulldog fans to refrain from hurling expletives while Middle Tennessee State fans should be confident in their future but not tempt the fates by losing in the Sun Belt conference tournament again this year.

As for the rest of you, it's time to step inside and see how Vegas sees your squad compared to the rest of the college basketball world.

Below you'll see the hotly anticipated Vegas bracket. Quick disclaimer that normal seeding procedures like conference affiliation considerations were not adhered to when we set our field. For our purposes, the bracket is driven purely by power numbers which will be different for every bettor / bookmaker. Special thanks to @Payneinsider again this week for sharing his numbers to help seed the field.  Some of the major differences between our bracket and that of bracketologist include:

Wisconsin: Ours 2 seed, Lunardi 5 seed
Pittsburgh: Ours 3 seed, Lunardi 6 seed
Middle Tenn St: Ours 4 seed, Lunardi 11 seed
Minnesota: Ours 5 seed, Lunardi 11 seed
Belmont: Ours 7 seed, Lunardi 12
Marquette: Ours 8 seed, Lunardi 4
Butler: Ours last 4 in, Lunardi 7 seed
Iowa: Ours 9 seed, Lunardi missing the field
 
Remember the Vegas bracket won't resemble the real field however it will explain why a scenario where a 12 seed is favored over a 5 seed might be more plausible this year than ever before. 

#1 Overall Seed: Indiana

(1) Indiana vs (16) Southern / Charleston Southern
(2) Wisconsin vs (15) Iona
(3) Syracuse vs (14) Weber State
(4) Ohio State vs (13) Denver
(5) Oklahoma State vs (12) Colorado
(6) New Mexico vs (11) Illinois
(7) San Diego St vs (10) UCLA
(8) Marquette vs (9) Cincinnati

 

#2 Overall Seed: Florida

(1) Florida vs (16) Robert Morris / North Carolina Central
(2) Michigan vs (15) Harvard
(3) Pittsburgh vs (14) Valparaiso
(4) Arizona vs (13) Stephen F Austin
(5) Minnesota vs (12) Akron
(6) St Mary's vs (11) Oklahoma
(7) Kansas St vs (10) NC State
(8) St Louis vs (9) North Carolina
 

#3 Overall Seed: Gonzaga

(1) Gonzaga vs (16) Mercer
(2) Kansas vs (15) South Dakota State
(3) Michigan State vs (14) Davidson
(4) Middle Tennessee State vs (13) Bucknell / Lasalle
(5) Wichita State vs (12) Baylor
(6) Virginia vs (11) Oregon
(7) Creighton vs (10) Kentucky
(8) Missouri vs (9) Iowa

 

#4 Overall Seed: Duke

(1) Duke vs (16) Long Beach State
(2) Louisville vs (15) George Mason
(3) Miami vs (14) Stony Brook
(4) Georgetown vs (13) California / Butler
(5) Colorado State vs (12) Ole Miss
(6) VCU vs (11) Memphis
(7) Belmont vs (10) Iowa State
(8) UNLV vs (9) Notre Dame

Power 68 (teams in bold are either ineligible or miss the Vegas tournament because of automatic qualifiers)

1 Indiana
2 Florida
3 Gonzaga
4 Duke
5 Michigan
6 Louisville
7 Kansas
8 Wisconsin
9 Syracuse
10 Pittsburgh
11 Michigan State
12 Georgetown
13 Miami
14 Middle Tennessee State
15 Arizona
16 Ohio State
17 Oklahoma State
18 Minnesota
19 Wichita State
20 Colorado State
21 VCU
22 Virginia
23 St. Mary's
24 New Mexico
25 San Diego State
26 Kansas State
27 Creighton
28 Belmont
29 UNLV
30 Missouri
31 St. Louis
32 Marquette
33 Cincinnati
34 North Carolina
35 Iowa
36 Notre Dame
37 Iowa State
38 Kentucky
39 N.C. State
40 UCLA
41 Illinois
42 Oklahoma
43 Oregon
44 Memphis
45 Mississippi
46 Baylor
47 Akron
48 UCONN
49 Colorado
50 Denver
51 Stephen F Austin
52 LaSalle
53 Bucknell
54 Butler
55 California
56 BYU
57 Stony Brook
58 Stanford
59 Tennessee 
60 Illinois State
61 Temple
62 Davidson
63 Maryland
64 Villanova
65 Northern Iowa
66 Louisiana Tech
67 Southern Mississippi
68 Detroit Mercy