Pre-Draft Player Rankings

26 Adam Wainwright (StL - SP)
Healthy
ADP: 24.9
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SP-1
W L SV IP K ERA WHIP
2013 Season 19 9 0 241.7 219 2.94 1.07
2014 Projections 16 12 0 221.0 196 3.05 1.13
3 Year Average 16 11 0 220.0 202 3.40 1.15
Outlook: Wainwright was dominant again in 2013 as the ace on the Cardinals' staff, logging 241.2 innings for the National League champs and striking out 219 while throwing five complete games. Wainwright has five pitches, four of which he uses regularly and he gets his strikeouts by using those pitches well and hitting his spots, meaning he should continue to pitch well with age. His numbers have been incredibly consistent the past several seasons and there's no reason to think he won't be one of the games best pitchers again in 2014. As long as he's healthy, Wainwright should be a solid anchor on any fantasy staff.
27 Jason Kipnis (Cle - 2B)
Healthy
ADP: 31.3
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 2B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 149 564 86 17 84 30 .284
2014 Projections 114 428 65 12 58 23 .276
3 Year Average 112 430 65 13 60 22 .270
Outlook: It's hard to find much to complain about in a season that saw Kipnis match or set career highs in runs (86), homers (17), RBI (84) and average (.284), while he added 30 steals for good measure. Another second-half slump (.261 average, four homers, 27 RBI, nine steals) was certainly a puzzling development following his elite level of production in the first half. Kipnis actually fared better against southpaws on the season, but the second-half power slump has to be of some concern. He'll be back as the team's everyday second baseman and remains one of the fantasy elite at the keystone with his combination of power and speed.
28 Freddie Freeman (Atl - 1B)
Healthy
ADP: 33.6
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 1B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 147 551 89 23 109 1 .319
2014 Projections 148 554 81 22 87 2 .292
3 Year Average 150 554 82 22 93 2 .287
Outlook: At first glance, Freeman's 2013 numbers appear to show a marked improvement from 2012, but there are reasons for skepticism. He drew just two more walks than he did in 2012, while striking out only eight fewer times. While Freeman finished second in the National League in RBI with 109, and third in the league with a .319 average, he hit .443 with runners in scoring position, and benefited greatly from a .371 BABIP. Moreover, his ISO dropped from .196 to .181, and he notched just 18 extra-base hits on the road, down from 28 in 2012. Now, all that said, Freeman hit lefties with far more consistency, improving his average against southpaws by 50 points (from .237 to .287), and his overall OPS by 101 points. Freeman didn't hit below .291 in any month of the season, and he appeared in 147 games, a number he's reached in three consecutive seasons. Still just 24 years old, Freeman is locked in at first base and likely into the three-hole in the batting order for Atlanta. While at least a slight regression in average and RBI seems inevitable, he's still an enticing fantasy option.
29 Felix Hernandez (Sea - SP)
Healthy
ADP: 28.1
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SP-1
W L SV IP K ERA WHIP
2013 Season 12 10 0 204.3 216 3.04 1.13
2014 Projections 13 10 0 223.0 220 3.41 1.20
3 Year Average 13 11 0 223.3 220 3.18 1.16
Outlook: A late-season back injury put a damper on an otherwise outstanding season for Hernandez in 2013. At the time of the injury, he had a 2.63 ERA. He made it into the seventh inning once over his last four starts, twice going no more than four innings and he posted a 6.86 ERA in that span. So, his year-end 3.04 ERA is a bit deceiving. Hernandez should dominate again this season. As a high-strikeout (fifth in the AL), groundball pitcher with outstanding control and command, few pitchers in baseball can touch him. Better run support this season (4.45 last year, 15th in AL) should help him notch more than the 12 wins he posted in 2013.
30 Jose Reyes (Tor - SS)
DL15
ADP: 34.9
CHG: 0.0
Depth: --
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 93 382 58 10 37 15 .296
2014 Projections 140 548 85 9 46 29 .305
3 Year Average 126 520 82 9 46 31 .306
Outlook: Reyes turned in a solid .296/.353/.427 line in his first season with the Blue Jays, but was limited to just 419 plate appearances because of injuries. An early-season ankle injury landed him on the 60-day DL, and Reyes never seemed to get back to 100 percent, finishing with just 15 stolen bases. Still one of the best offensive shortstops in the game, his health is as much of a concern now as ever. Fortunately, Reyes ended the season without any injuries, and he'll have the entire offseason to rest his ankle. Assuming he stays healthy, Reyes will almost certainly be one of the league's most productive shortstops again in 2014.
31 Dustin Pedroia (Bos - 2B)
Healthy
ADP: 32.0
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 2B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 160 641 91 9 84 17 .301
2014 Projections 160 609 94 14 73 19 .305
3 Year Average 153 613 91 15 80 21 .300
Outlook: Pedroia is Boston's unquestioned leader. David Ortiz may be the face of the franchise, but Pedroia is its heart. He suffered a ulnar collateral ligament tear in his left thumb on Opening Day and played 176 regular-season and postseason games with the injury. He led the league in plate appearances and ranked third among second basemen in batting average, on-base percentage and RBI. He's been remarkably durable, given the abandon with which he plays, and has averaged 141 games played the last seven seasons. Offseason surgery on the thumb was deemed successful and he should be ready to go when spring training rolls around. He primarily hit third in the batting order, but that could change, depending on how the Red Sox choose to cover the loss of Jacoby Ellsbury.
32 Cliff Lee (Phi - SP)
Healthy
ADP: 34.6
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SP-1
W L SV IP K ERA WHIP
2013 Season 14 8 0 222.7 222 2.87 1.01
2014 Projections 14 11 0 209.0 205 2.91 1.06
3 Year Average 12 8 0 222.0 222 2.80 1.05
Outlook: Lee was drafted to be a fantasy ace last season and he delivered on expectations. His ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate and walk rate were excellent and his 6.94 K/BB ratio was the best in baseball. The only concern from last season was the loss of one mile per hour off of his fastball. It didn't hurt his numbers, obviously, but it may serve as an early warning of further skills loss to come. Lee will turn 36 this season and he will eventually start showing more signs of inevitable decline. That said, there are not any other red flags in his profile, so he should continue to provide plenty of value as a near-elite starter, and one that will come at a lower price than the elite options currently in their respective primes.
33 Stephen Strasburg (Was - SP)
Healthy
ADP: 32.7
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SP-3
W L SV IP K ERA WHIP
2013 Season 8 9 0 183.0 191 3.00 1.05
2014 Projections 13 4 0 123.0 134 2.38 1.02
3 Year Average 8 5 0 122.0 137 2.95 1.07
Outlook: Oh, the agony of being a Stephen Strasburg owner. He tossed a career-high 183 innings in 2013, with a plus strikeout rate, ERA and WHIP, yet somehow managed to win just eight games. He had an injury scare to boot, although the eventual culprit seemed to be nothing more than bone chips in his elbow. All the tools are there for him to be among the game's elite pitchers, but until he actually strikes out 200 batters or wins 20 games in a season, there are going to be question marks. Of course, those same question marks could make Strasburg a relative bargain in 2014 if he does finally put it all together.
34 Jose Bautista (Tor - RF)
Healthy
ADP: 35.8
CHG: 0.0
Depth: RF-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 118 452 82 28 73 7 .259
2014 Projections 114 408 71 26 61 6 .245
3 Year Average 120 432 84 33 80 7 .271
Outlook: After a hip injury cut short his 2013 campaign, Bautista was given a clean bill of health in November. He has missed significant chunks of time in each of the last two seasons, but is still one of the more dangerous hitters in the game. Bautista continues to post excellent strikeout rates for a power hitter, though his consistently low line-drive rate holds down his BABIP and thus, his batting average. There was a bit of a power decline in 2013, as Bautista posted his lowest slugging percentage (.498) since breaking out in 2010. A healthy season might give Bautista a chance to match his 2010-11 level of production, though it seems more likely that he'll settle in as something a bit less than that at the age of 33. Even if he's just the player that we saw in 2012 and 2013, that would still leave Bautista as one of the better power-hitting outfielders in the American League.
35 Justin Upton (Atl - LF, RF)
Healthy
ADP: 41.1
CHG: 0.0
Depth: LF-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 149 558 94 27 70 8 .263
2014 Projections 153 573 102 25 70 17 .281
3 Year Average 153 568 102 25 75 16 .278
Outlook: Upton's first month in a Braves uniform was the stuff of legends, as he clubbed a whopping 12 home runs in April and appeared to be headed for a career year. Over the next three months of the season, however, Upton managed just four home runs. He got hot again in August, and finished with a team-leading 27 big flies, but it was at times a frustrating season for his fantasy owners. After recording 18-plus steals in each of his previous four seasons, Upton attempted just nine steals in 2013, as manager Fredi Gonzalez played it safe on the basepaths, and his strikeout rate jumped dramatically from 19.3 percent to 25.0 percent. By no means was it a terrible year for Upton, but he didn't live up to his price tag, and his 17.9 percent HR/FB rate is likely unsustainable. Moreover, a rebound in batting average is not necessarily a lock, as his BABIP was still above .320.
36 Jay Bruce (Cin - RF)
Healthy
ADP: 41.5
CHG: 0.0
Depth: RF-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 160 626 89 30 109 7 .262
2014 Projections 153 580 91 31 91 8 .266
3 Year Average 157 590 87 32 102 8 .258
Outlook: It took Bruce 20 games to hit his first homer of the season, and he ended April with the sole long ball. He subsequently hit a combined 17 homers in May and June, perfectly illustrating his streakiness. There is some hope that Bruce is entering his prime years, but 2013 didn't bring any evidence - just more of the same. Mind you, 30-100 seasons aren't bad by any measure, but he hasn't improved his contact rate at a point in his career where that next step should take place. A power spike could theoretically happen, but owners shouldn't rely upon him becoming a high-average, elite power hitter.
37 Buster Posey (SF - C, 1B)
DTD
ADP: 32.8
CHG: 0.0
Depth: C-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 148 520 61 15 72 2 .294
2014 Projections 111 413 53 13 57 1 .303
3 Year Average 114 404 52 14 65 2 .312
Outlook: Posey didn't put up numbers close to his MVP season in 2012, but he still produced at an elite level for catchers in 2013. After posting a .325 average coupled with 13 homers and 56 RBI in the first half, many thought he could repeat his numbers from 2012. But that wasn't the case as Posey completely disappeared in the second half, hitting just .244 with just two home runs and 16 RBI after the All-Star break. There was no apparent injury to report with Posey, and he actually improved his BB/K (0.96) in the second half, so it is tough to pinpoint what exactly went wrong with the All-Star catcher. Despite his second-half struggles, Posey will remain one of the most consistent options at catcher in 2014.
38 Alex Rios (Tex - RF)
Healthy
ADP: 48.0
CHG: 0.0
Depth: RF-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 156 616 83 18 81 42 .278
2014 Projections 139 559 75 16 63 22 .258
3 Year Average 153 586 80 19 72 25 .271
Outlook: Rios was a deadline acquisition by Texas in 2013, posting a .772 OPS with the Rangers and a .749 OPS with the White Sox. While the power and batting average were around his career norms, his 42 steals (including 16 in just 47 games with Texas) were a career high. While he's certainly been a speed threat in the past (34 steals back in 2010), it's hard to envision him swiping 40-plus again. It's possible, but you shouldn't value him with those expectations. He should benefit, however, from having a more talented lineup around him in Texas than he did in his final seasons on the south side of Chicago.
39 Jose Fernandez (Mia - SP)
Healthy
ADP: 38.7
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SP-1
W L SV IP K ERA WHIP
2013 Season 12 6 0 172.7 187 2.19 0.98
2014 Projections 14 10 0 175.0 180 2.94 1.15
3 Year Average 12 6 0 172.7 187 2.19 0.98
Outlook: A surprise addition to the Opening Day roster, Fernandez had no problems adjusting to life in the big leagues, dominating his way to the NL Rookie of the Year award and a third-place finish in the NL Cy Young voting. Fernandez leaned on a mid-90s heater and a knee-bending curveball to hold opposing hitters to a .182 batting average against during his rookie season on his way to a phenomenal 2.19 ERA and microscopic 0.98 WHIP. Fernandez registered 12 starts (in 28 turns) with eight or more strikeouts and put together an impressive pair of wins in late July and early August in which he struck out 27 batters in 16 innings. His true Cy Young chances were, perhaps, dashed by a team-imposed innings cap that shut him down after 172.2 frames -- and that prospect will loom largely down the stretch again in his sophomore season as he's just 21 years old. Still, owners can expect Fernandez to inch his way toward 200 innings in 2014 with elite numbers across the board.
40 Ian Desmond (Was - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 45.9
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 158 600 77 20 80 21 .280
2014 Projections 145 573 71 16 60 23 .264
3 Year Average 147 566 71 18 67 22 .274
Outlook: Desmond put together his second straight 20-20 season, cementing his spot among the elite fantasy options at shortstop. His high strikeout rate makes his ability to sustain a useful batting average questionable, but after Desmond hit .280 or better in back-to-back years, most owners should be comfortable taking that risk. Desmond is still young, athletic, and he hasn't been injury-prone, while he is capable of contributing in all five major categories. What more could you want?
41 Shin-Soo Choo (Tex - CF, LF)
Healthy
ADP: 49.5
CHG: 0.0
Depth: LF-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 154 569 107 21 54 20 .285
2014 Projections 139 502 81 14 47 19 .275
3 Year Average 131 493 77 15 52 18 .278
Outlook: Reds general manager Walt Jocketty quietly pulled off a huge trade for the second offseason in a row, landing exactly what the Reds needed in Choo. Slotted at the top of the lineup for virtually every game, Choo had a massive performance in his walk year, getting on base at a .423 clip while posting a 20-20 season. He was miscast as a center fielder, but the Reds easily won the offense-for-defense exchange. One worrisome note -- he has continued to struggle against left-handers since suffering a broken thumb in 2011, and he hit .215/.347/.265 against them last season in 181 at-bats. As a result, Choo does not appear to be far from the point where he will need to be platooned. The Rangers signed Choo to a seven-year, $130 million deal in December, where he will likely slot in as the leadoff hitter for a potent Texas lineup.
42 Jean Segura (Mil - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 50.0
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 146 588 74 12 49 44 .294
2014 Projections 95 383 52 7 33 29 .313
3 Year Average 96 370 46 6 32 26 .286
Outlook: Segura began hitting late in the 2012 season and didn’t look back, tearing up the Arizona Fall League and posting a .294 batting average in his first full major league season. Segura earned an All-Star berth by posting an .850 OPS in the first half, but he hit the dreaded Rookie Wall after the break, posting an unsightly .583 OPS. Despite the late-season struggles, Segura still managed to reach double digits in all three extra-base hit categories, and his stolen base total ranked fourth in all of baseball. Segura’s stamina should improve in his second season, and he will be among the top options at the shortstop position.
43 Eric Hosmer (KC - 1B)
Healthy
ADP: 56.5
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 1B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 159 623 86 17 79 11 .302
2014 Projections 141 545 79 19 70 13 .305
3 Year Average 146 560 72 17 72 13 .277
Outlook: Who knows what exactly George Brett said to Hosmer when he took over as the Royals' interim hitting coach, but whatever it was, it marked the turning point for the young first baseman and transformed him from a struggling hitter barely able to maintain a .250 average to a .300 hitter with strong gap power and the added ability to hit the long ball. Even after Brett stepped down, Hosmer continued to rake and batted over .300 in each of the final four months of the season with 16 home runs in that span. At just 24 years old, Hosmer has so much more ahead of him. If he can simply maintain his current level of plate discipline and contact rates, the power should continue to develop, giving him a very strong chance to elevate his game to a higher level worthy of an eventual place among the top-10 at the first base position.
44 Albert Pujols (LAA - 1B, DH)
Healthy
ADP: 49.3
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 1B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 99 391 49 17 64 1 .258
2014 Projections 124 478 60 20 67 5 .247
3 Year Average 133 526 80 28 89 6 .283
Outlook: Pujols came into the 2013 season looking to atone for what was his worst statistical season in 2012. Unfortunately for Pujols, the plantar fasciitis he has dealt with for most of career became much more problematic, as the former MVP told reporters he was "dying" as a result of the pain he was feeling in his foot in April. This pain likely resulted in Pujols once again having the worst statistical year of his career, as the first baseman's numbers showed a decline across the board, and he finished the year with 17 home runs and a 116 OPS+ before he was finally shut down for good in August. While Pujols' numbers on the year may be fine for most players, they simply won't do for King Albert, who has failed to produce after signing a 10-year, $254 million contract with the Angels in December 2011. There are reasons to be optimistic heading into 2014, as Pujols resumed baseball activities early in the offseason, but it seems likely that his days of being baseball's best hitter are well behind him.
45 Chris Sale (CWS - SP)
Healthy
ADP: 46.8
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SP-1
W L SV IP K ERA WHIP
2013 Season 11 14 0 214.3 226 3.07 1.07
2014 Projections 17 12 0 164.0 166 3.11 1.10
3 Year Average 10 8 3 159.0 166 3.00 1.10
Outlook: Sale's win total dropped from 17 in 2012 to 11 in 2013, but the rest of his repertoire was impressive enough to lead him a fifth-place finish in the AL Cy Young race. His 9.5 K/9 was tops among the league's left-handed starters, and his walk rate fell to a career-best 1.9 BB/9. Opposing batters hit a measly .138 off his slider, and the pitch was virtually unhittable for left-handed batters. Sale was pegged as a reliever in his early days in the league because of durability concerns, but he threw 214 innings in 2013 and led the league with four complete games. There should not be much cause for concern about regression in 2014. Sale will potentially be an injury risk to some due to his "inverted W" delivery, but he has yet to hit the disabled list through his first 512 professional innings. Look for him to lead the White Sox's rotation again in 2014.
46 Matt Kemp (LAD - CF)
Healthy
ADP: 58.2
CHG: 0.0
Depth: CF-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 73 263 35 6 33 9 .270
2014 Projections 112 428 73 24 69 18 .311
3 Year Average 113 423 75 23 76 19 .305
Outlook: Kemp suffered a second consecutive injury-plagued season in 2013, playing in just 73 games due to hamstring and ankle injuries. Pile on offseason shoulder surgery, and Kemp enters 2014 with a lot to prove. Kemp's 2014 will be his age-29 season, so in theory he could have another 2011 ahead of him, but the recent track record of injuries make it easy to be pessimistic. Kemp by all accounts is a hard worker, so he could come to camp 100 percent, play in 155 games, and go 30/30, but don't pay a premium to find out if he's still capable of reaching that level.
47 Madison Bumgarner (SF - SP)
Healthy
ADP: 49.5
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SP-1
W L SV IP K ERA WHIP
2013 Season 13 9 0 201.3 199 2.77 1.03
2014 Projections 14 9 0 200.0 183 3.29 1.18
3 Year Average 14 11 0 204.7 194 3.12 1.12
Outlook: Bumgarner put together a career year in 2013, getting his ERA under 3.00 for the first time as a full-time starter. He also experienced improvements in his K/9 (8.9) and HR/9 (0.7) from the year before, while keeping his walks (2.8 BB/9) in check. He only netted 13 wins for an offensively-challenged Giants team, but victories are almost impossible to predict on a yearly basis. Looking ahead, Bumgarner projects to throw 200-plus innings for the fourth consecutive season and should be one of the more reliable arms taken early off the board.
48 Ian Kinsler (Det - 2B)
Healthy
ADP: 51.5
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 2B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 136 545 85 13 72 15 .277
2014 Projections 162 625 96 17 59 18 .227
3 Year Average 149 607 104 21 74 22 .262
Outlook: Kinsler's fade continued in 2013, as he hit just 13 homers and stole 15 bases. His road numbers (.263/.317/.418) continue to be problematic, something that is even more of an issue after he was traded to the Tigers in November. Where he fits into the Detroit lineup remains to be seen, as Kinsler doesn't offer the protypical skills of an above-average leadoff hitter. Further, he may see a similarly reduced amount of power across the board now that he's playing half of his games in the more spacious Comerica Park rather than the hitter-friendly confines of The Ballpark in Arlington.
49 David Price (TB - SP)
Healthy
ADP: 47.0
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SP-1
W L SV IP K ERA WHIP
2013 Season 10 8 0 186.7 151 3.33 1.10
2014 Projections 14 9 0 212.0 189 3.26 1.13
3 Year Average 14 9 0 207.3 191 3.13 1.11
Outlook: Coming off the AL Cy Young Award in 2012, expectations could not have been higher for the southpaw Price. While his win total declined from 20 to 10 and he missed over a month of the season with a triceps injury, his overall numbers were about on par with his excellent past few seasons. In just 27 starts, he tied for the lead in the AL with four complete games. Though his strikeout percentage dipped slightly, he took a big step in improving control, with 1.3 BB/9 and a 5.59 K/BB ratio, both tops in the AL. He finished the season with a 10-8 record and 3.33 ERA and he continued his run of dominance over AL East opponents, going 6-3 over 14 starts. Entering the 2014 season at age 28, Price remains one of the top fantasy options on the mound and is the true ace of his pitching staff.
50 Cole Hamels (Phi - SP)
DL15
ADP: 59.2
CHG: 0.0
Depth: --
W L SV IP K ERA WHIP
2013 Season 8 14 0 220.0 202 3.60 1.16
2014 Projections 16 12 0 223.0 198 2.90 1.06
3 Year Average 13 10 0 217.0 204 3.15 1.09
Outlook: Hamels earned only eight wins last season, despite finishing the year with a 3.60 ERA over 33 starts. He had some blowups early in the season, but after making a mechanical adjustment at the end of May, he went on to post a 2.96 ERA over the rest of the year. His strikeout and walk rates were in line with his career norms, and for the third straight season, his K:BB ratio was over 4.0. All signs point to Hamels producing numbers that can anchor a fantasy staff again in 2014. With a little more luck, he may get his win total back into double digits as well.
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