Draft prospects: Who's underrated?

by John Juhasz

John is an editor for the FOXSports.com fantasy group. Check out his blog and please don't be shy when leaving questions or comments.


Updated: April 22, 2008, 1:12 PM EST Comment

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With a little more than a week to go until draft day, I wanted to break down a few prospects at the all-important fantasy positions who I think may be a tad underrated.

I'm not suggesting all of these guys should be first-rounders, but what I am saying is they may have more of a chance at becoming fantasy contributors than most experts give them.

Quarterback

  • Colt Brennan, Hawaii — Here's part of what I said about Brennan after the combine wrapped up:

    Brennan came from one of those most pass-happy college football programs in the NCAA. He passed the ball on almost every down, and since handing the ball off isn't a big art, it stands to reason he should be able to make any throw his NFL coach wants.

    I still stand by that. Granted, the run-and-shoot offense is built around the quarterback getting rid of the ball very quickly, and he'll need to make some adjustments at the NFL level. He'll have to learn to make reads at the pro level, but so has every other incoming quarterback.

    I doubt Brennan starts right away, but I could definitely see him running an offense like Indianapolis' some day (and God knows they could use a capable backup quarterback: the talent difference from Peyton Manning to Jim Sorgi may be the sharpest No. 1 to No. 2 dropoff in the history of the league. I'm serious).

  • Andre Woodson, Kentucky — Woodson has just the right size (6-foot-4, 230 pounds) to be an effective quarterback. He doesn't have great speed though, so he'll certainly need to refine his mechanics if he's going to rely on being a pocket passer in the NFL. He also threw 11 picks in 13 games, which needs to change if he's going to get a crack at starting.

    The good news though is Woodson improved every single important category in each of his four years on the field: completions, attempts, passing yards, touchdown passes and completion percentage. Every one of those stats went up each year, which is not easy to accomlish. It all culminated in 3,709 yards and 40 touchdown passes in 2007 (and in a not-so-easy SEC conference, I might add).

  • Dennis Dixon, Oregon — The Oregon Ducks were most likely BCS Championship-bound had Dixon not gone down for the count with a knee injury. He was making teams with good defenses look awfully foolish when they tried to stop him. He's arguably the most elusive and quarterback to come out of college since Michael Vick.

    But there's one burning question which always pops up about quarterbacks like Dixon, and I'm sure you already know what it is: can he sit back and pass from the pocket, or is he just an option quarterback? No team in the NFL runs the spread option, so does the answer have to be a resounding 'yes' if you're hoping to find fantasy value with him?

    Not really.

    I think Dixon's career will unfold a lot like that of Vick's on the field. Whenever he starts regularly, expect him to have games where he throws for 160 yards, but rushes for 100 and a touchdown. Dixon's got a kind of bizarre throwing motion: he almost brings the ball down to his shoulder and pushes it downfield instead of winding back and following through. But he's 6-foot-4 and extremely elusive. No one caught Vick in his prime, and I'm expecting the same here.

    Running back

  • Ray Rice, Rutgers — I'll go back to my post-combine wrap for my thoughts on Rice considering not much has changed since then:

    A lot about Rice's game is similar to that of Mendenhall's: short and stocky, yet powerful and even fast. Rice ran a respectable 4.40 dash and is probably second-round material at this point, but his fantasy status is hard to predict since he could literally land anywhere in the draft.

    The popularity of the two-back system in the NFL may increase Mike Hart's chances of making a fantasy impact. (Doug Benc / Getty Images)

  • Mike Hart, Michigan — He's short and stocky, but unfortunately, he doesn't have the same kind of quickness the other short running backs do. His biggest asset is his drive and determination; he's not easy to tackle and squeezes every inch he can out of every run. Hart can be relied on to carry a heavy workload and knows how to play through pain if necessary.

    Hart will almost certainly start his career as a second back, but with such a shift around the league toward using a two-back system, he's going to be a solid and reliable pickup for someone.

  • Ryan Torain, Arizona St. — Torian is an interesting prospect and probably my biggest longshot of the bunch. He's a strong and well-built runner who is also tough to tackle in the open field (think Jamal Lewis).

    Torain struggled with injuries at ASU, but he can be a productive runner who is something of a dual-threat out of the backfield (he had 100 receiving yards and two touchdowns on only seven catches last year). Some projections have him not even getting drafted, but he'll wind up on a roster somewhere, and you may even see him catch on somewhere as a third-down back. Stay tuned.

    Wide receiver/Tight end

  • James Hardy, WR, Indiana — Hardy is an absolute gamer. He's one of those tall and lanky receivers who can use his body and get physical if necessary (basically a rich man's Mike Williams). Parts of his game make me think he'll be one of those few players who is actually better in the NFL than he was in college.

    Hardy scored 36 touchdowns in three seasons at Indiana, which averages out to roughly one per game in that span. If he lasts past the second round, some team is going to land themselves a solid prospect who shouldn't take too long to get acclimated to the NFL.

  • Jordy Nelson, WR, Kansas St. — Nelson had a really strange college career: he had a really promising year in 2005, was awful in 2006, and then finished with his best year ever in 2007: 122 catches, 1,606 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns. Not bad at all.

    Does anyone remember watching Ben Roethlisberger in college? He wasn't exactly light on his feet, but he still had a knack for eluding onrushers and making plays. Nelson fits the same mold. He's 6-foot-3 and 217 pounds and isn't super quick, but what makes him effective is his talent for making defenders miss their initial attempt at contact after he catches the ball. He's also a good punt returner, so he knows how to make things happen in the open field.

  • Fred Davis, TE, USC — Davis has an almost ideal combination of athleticism and size for his position; he's listed at 6-foot-3 and 250 pounds. You don't really want your tight end to bulk up a great deal more than that since he'd then start losing some of his quickness.

    Speaking of that, he ran a 4.68 40 at the combine, which isn't spectacular, but really, how many tight ends in the league have blazing speed? Davis also began his college career as a wide receiver, so his speed shouldn't be an issue.

    Davis is about one inch shorter and 10 pounds lighter than Antonio Gates. Both of them attacked defenses the same way, and depending on where Davis lands, he could be a decent fantasy asset by the end of his first season.

    Next, I'll talk about the guys who are rated too highly.

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