Which European 'power' has the greatest chance at being upset in the World Cup qualifying playoffs?

Upset-minded: There's no doubt that the seeding for the UEFA World Cup qualifying playoffs gave heavyweights such as France and Portugal the best opportunity to reach South Africa next summer, however they still have two matches to play with everything on the line. Les Bleus are facing a tricky series with Ireland, while Portugal must find a way to get past the up and coming Bosnians. Greece got the toughest draw in the group with two matches against Ukraine, while Russia will have to overcome their two-leg series with Slovenia. Which European 'power' has the greatest chance at being upset in the World Cup qualifying playoffs?
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