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Atlantic Division not a pushover any more

by Charley Rosen

Charley Rosen is FOXSports.com's NBA analyst and author of 15 books about hoops, the current ones being The First Tip-Off: The Incredible Story of the Birth of the NBA and No Blood, No Foul.

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Updated: October 8, 2008, 1:34 AM EDT
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The time is past when these teams will provide get-well games for extra-divisional ball clubs. Indeed, it's entirely conceivable that three of the Atlantic Division competitors will make the playoffs.

Boston Celtics

The Big Three? Try the Big 33.

Because the biggest stumbling block for the Celtics as they try to defend their title will be the age of their trio of superstars. Some of them more than others, of course.

Ray Allen (age 33) is an important component for the defending champs, but is almost replaceable by a committee composed primarily of Eddie House, Gabe Pruitt and Tony Allen — with the remote possibility of one of the rookies (Bill Walker and J. R. Giddens) also stepping up. There are likewise lesser-talented bodies that could temporarily man the bastions in the event Kevin Garnett (32) goes down — Leon Powe, Glen Davis, Brian Scalabrine.

But with James Posey elsewhere, Darius Miles — that would be the soft, rusty, immature, and defenseless Darius Miles — is currently the only quasi-viable substitute if Paul Pierce (31) gets hurt. And as evidenced in the finals, it's Pierce who's the heart of this team, simply because it's PP who takes the clutch shots and makes most of them.

In Kendrick Perkins the Celtics have a tough, strong, foul-prone role player, whose backup, Patrick O'Bryant, is a step down in every department. With KG able to swing into the middle, Boston remains well fortified here.

Rajon Rondo is still another irreplaceable piece. Expect his improving jump shot to be even better, and he certainly hasn't slowed down any. His energy, quickness, unselfishness, and ability to penetrate put some necessary zip in both the offense and defense.

House is a zone-buster and Sam Cassell will be brought back to life only in emergencies.

Without Posey and P.J. Brown, Boston's bench is shorter than it was last spring. Glen Davis must become more consistent and less foul-prone, improvements that are not beyond the realm of possibility. Because he's such an undersized power player, Powe (generously listed as 6-8, but probably two inches shy of that) must also learn to play defense without fouling.

Perhaps the most important second-stringer will be Tony Allen. His return to the form he demonstrated at the start of the 2006-07 season (before he was injured) would go a long way toward lengthening Boston's bench.

There are numerous possible roadblocks to a repeat, but given the absence of long-term injuries to the starters, as well as a coming of age of some of the young'uns, the Celtics should be ready, willing, and able to win another championship.

The best that can be hoped for: The Celtics' 18th NBA title.

New Jersey Nets

Because of a shortage of talent, the Nets' fortunes will depend largely on a number of intangibles.

That's because:

  • Their most talented player, Vince Carter, is a choke-master.

  • Their young speedster, Devin Harris, hasn't yet learned how to make jumpers or direct an offense.

  • Newcomer Bobby Simmons is a jack-of-all-trades and master of none.

  • Yi Jianlian lacks muscle, drive and defense.

  • Eduardo Najera, the team's legitimate tough guy, has a history of bad wheels.

  • Josh Boone is an undersized role player.

  • Jarvis Hayes has a spotty handle.

  • Keyon Dooling is wildly erratic.

  • Brook Lopez is one of perhaps three rookies who will make the team — and, no matter how talented they might be, rookies always make an inordinate number of egregious mistakes.

    So, in order to have a fruitful season, the rebuilding Nets will have to play every minute of every game with total passion and togetherness. Also, lots of guys need to have career years, and the hooplings will have to grow up in a hurry.

    Among the Nets players, coaching staff, management and fans, the keyword is "patience."

    The best that can be hoped for: Finish ahead of the Knicks.

    New York Knicks

    Whether he's on the team or not, Stephon Marbury is bound to be a $21 million headache for the Knicks. (Jennifer Pottheiser/NBAE / Getty Images)

    Isiah Thomas certainly left quite a mess behind. A mismatched roster loaded with guys who want to run, guys who can't run, stone-footed big men, and a host of non-shooters and non-defenders.

    Mike D'Antoni's shoot-first-and-never-ask-questions game plan will get the most out of Jamal Crawford, Jared Jeffries, Mardy Collins, Nate Robinson, David Lee, and Winston Chandler. Plus Chris Duhon is much better than many pundits think he is.

    But the lingering presence of Stephon Marbury will continue to haunt the team no matter how well he plays. It certainly won't take much for Marbury to turn into Darth Vader — not starting, not finishing, getting precipitously yanked to the bench, getting piqued by criticism in the aggressive New York media, giving the wrong answer in an interview.

    Think of it this way: Is it worth taking a $21.9M hit to clear the stench from the locker room and truly commit the franchise to a fresh start? Or is it worth trying to squeeze some positive usage out of the guy?

    Perhaps the Knicks are only keeping Marbury on the premises in hopes that an injury to the point guard of some contending team will make him tradeable.

    In any event, the Knicks preseason enthusiasm could be quickly nullified by Starbury being Starbury or a three-game losing streak. Whichever comes first.

    The best that can be hoped for: They generate headlines on the back pages of New York newspapers instead of on the front pages.

    Philadelphia 76ers

    The parts are all in place: A savvy point guard in Andre Miller. A monster in the middle in Elton Brand. A shot-blocking center in Samuel Dalembert. Andre Iguodala is a young stud ready to define his game without the immense pressure he was under before Brand signed on. Thaddeus Young is another star in the making. Louis Williams is potentially a super-sub. Plus there are a host of quality veteran backups in Theo Ratliff, Kareem Rush, Reggie Evans and Donyell Marshall ready to step in and do good work.

    What are the Sixers' flaws? Erratic long-distance shooting. Williams' tendency to try to impose his will on a game. Miller's lack of speed and defensive shortcomings. Young's still being young.

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    Even so, the positives greatly outweigh the negatives.

    The most pertinent question is this: How long will it take for this team to come together?

    Whether the answer is after the All-Star game, by the playoffs, next year or beyond, at least the Sixers finally have a viable future.

    The best that can be hoped for: Playing in the conference finals.

    Toronto Raptors

    Trading T. J. Ford was a great move for several reasons. It put the offense exclusively in the capable hands of Jose Calderon, who tends to over-handle, but who's stronger, slightly better defensively, and less prone to force shots than Ford. The trade also brought Jermaine O'Neal, who can hopefully cure the power shortage that has hampered the Raptors for so many years.

    Even so, the roster remains top-heavy with shooters: Marshmallow-soft Andreas Bargnani. High-flying Jamario Moon. And Jason Kapono, who has no other NBA qualifications. Only Anthony Parker has a complete game, and is in fact one of the league's most underrated players.

    Chris Bosh remains the face of the franchise, a slasher and mid-range jump shooter, who should be the primary beneficiary of O'Neal's husky presence in the paint.

    But O'Neal remains the key to the Raptors' fortunes. In the past, playing in the low post has either worn him down or resulted in crippling injuries. Also, O'Neal has never been accused of delivering in clutch situations. Still, if he's willing to battle and bang in the paint, the Raptors will finally have a big man who will demand double-teaming. The result should be even more unchallenged long-distance jumpers than ever.

    Even if O'Neal supplies the requisite interior force, the Raptors overall defense and lack of quality backups would remain problematic.

    The best that can be hoped for: Advancing into the second round of the playoffs.

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