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Howard in process of surpassing Duncan

by Charley Rosen

Charley Rosen is FOXSports.com's NBA analyst and author of 15 books about hoops, the current ones being The First Tip-Off: The Incredible Story of the Birth of the NBA and No Blood, No Foul.

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Updated: December 19, 2008, 12:52 AM EST
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Yes, the Spurs arrived in Orlando at 3:30 a.m. after a tough loss in New Orleans. And, yes, Dwight Howard was well-rested after being out of action for two games with a bruised knee.

But there they were going head to head: Tim Duncan, at 32 already a legend in his own time, a four-time NBA champ, and a two-time MVP, versus Dwight Howard, a 23-year-old rebounding colossus and rapidly developing monster in the middle.

Here's how this particular generational battle turned out.

HOWARD'S OFFENSE-DUNCAN'S DEFENSE

  • Every time TD showed on screen/rolls, Howard cut unopposed to the hoop with mixed results — one made and one missed layup, and one turnover committed when he had his back to the passer and couldn't turn quickly enough to get a handle on the ball. Twice he was unguarded but ignored by his teammates.

  • In an early-offense sequence, Howard ran to the front of the rim, pushed Duncan out of the way, but missed the ensuing layup, with Duncan trying a flopperoo to no avail. The next time Howard tried the same stunt, TD offered sufficient resistance before falling backwards so that Howard was caught with his pushing arm extended — and DH was tooted for an offensive foul.

  • Howard made a powerful cross-lane cut, received a perfectly timed entry pass, and served up a rim-jammer. Duncan was flat-out beaten here.

  • From the right box, Howard made a tight spin left but couldn't escape Duncan's long-armed defense — and missed a lefty layup.

  • On several plays, Howard faced up and drove hard to the rim — scoring on a reverse layup, going baseline and successfully attacking the near edge of the basket, getting fouled by a helping Matt Bonner (2-for-2 from the stripe), stepping on the baseline en route to the hoop, and also losing possession to a swipe by Manu Ginobili.

  • Howard's fourth turnover occurred when he tossed a silly pass to a teammate who had cut into a crowd.

  • Duncan studiously tried to box Howard off the offensive glass and was mostly successful — limiting the young man to a single put-back score.

  • Twice Howard beat Duncan downcourt in fastbreak situations — scoring an easy layup, then getting the ball slapped out of bounds as TD caught him from behind.

  • When operating against Duncan, Howard shot 6-for-10 and scored 14 points, with all four of his misses being very makeable layups..

  • Overall, Howard repeatedly overpowered Duncan and in so doing established terrific position in the paint. Also, Howard's spins and drives were much more explosive than they have been in the past. If only he had some kind of short-range jumper, Howard would be literally unstoppable.

    DUNCAN'S OFFENSE-HOWARD'S DEFENSE

  • Duncan had tremendous difficulty outmuscling his opponent and establishing prime position on a regular basis. Which is why he had to settle for taking mid-range jumpers — shooting 3-for-7 on these, none of them under bothersome pressure. The only time that Howard seriously challenged one of these shots, his hands were brought to his waist-level in response to Duncan's several ball-fakes, and TD had a clean look (which he converted).

  • Early on, Howard aggressively fronted Duncan in the low post and successfully denied him the ball.

  • When Duncan was able to post up and receive an entry pass, he produced a sensational lefty spin and off-balance lefty layup, drew a foul (making 1-for-2), missed a lunging lefty layup, and also missed the three jump hooks he attempted.

  • Duncan also turned a trick on Howard by beating him downcourt in a running situation. Howard arrived on the scene just in time to bite on a fake and commit a foul (TD went 2-for-2 here).

  • When Duncan received the ball after making a cross-lane cut, Howard was on the spot to block the ensuing layup attempt.

  • In their mano-a-mano confrontations, TD shot 4-for-12 and tallied 13 (of his total of 19) points.

    On offense, Howard has a huge edge in power, while Duncan's ability to hit jumpers was his primary advantage. Also, TD has more ways of scoring in the low post and is a much better passer from there (he had three assists to none for Howard).

    On defense, Howard utilized his strength well, but was a bit slow in his lateral movement. Duncan is a better help-defender by a wide margin.

    Howard is, of course,the superior rebounder, having better hands, quicker hops and a wider range of influence.

    Howard will certainly overtake Duncan in the long run, but only if he broadens his offensive repertoire and becomes more savvy on defense.

    In the here and now, Howard wins the first round by a unanimous decision.

    Vox Populi

    Who do you think is the best backcourt in the NBA right now? I'm thinking maybe the Spurs or the Celtics. — Brandon Peppel, Benton Harbor, Mich.

    If you have a question or comment for Charley Rosen, submit it below and Charley may just respond.

    Subject:
    Comment/Question:
    Name: 
    Email: 
    Hometown: 

    I agree with your nominations, and here's the way I see the pairings:

    1. San Antonio's Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili are a tad more resourceful than Boston's tandem.

    2. Rajon Rondo and Ray Allen perfectly complement each other.

    3. Kobe Bryant and Derek Fisher rate this high only because Kobe and anybody comprise a top-notch backcourt.

    4. Phoenix's new combo of Steve Nash and Jason Richardson is explosive offensively but mostly ineffective on the other end of the court.

    5. Even though Mike Bibby has lost some of his game, Joe Johnson remains at the top of his.

    6. With the emergence of Devin Harris, Vince Carter's erratic play (especially in the clutch) is not quite as damaging.

    Straight shooting

    It's open season on coaches — but when isn't it? And with the firing of the likes of P.J. Carlesimo and Reggie Theus, the real question is this: Why are so many inferior coaches hired in the first place?

    Before trying to solve this particular puzzle, let's take a look at the employment records of all the coaches who have survived so far.

    Rick Adelman was fired three times — at Portland, Golden State, and Sacramento.

    Larry Brown can't seem to last anywhere too long. (Chuck Burton / Associated Press)

    My abacus is too limited to count the number of times Larry Brown has been dismissed.

    Rick Carlisle was let go by the Pistons and the Pacers.

    Mike D'Antoni is the ex-coach of Denver and Phoenix.

    Mike Dunleavy was pink-slipped by the Lakers, the Bucks and the Blazers.

    George Karl was fired four times — at Cleveland, Golden State, Seattle and Milwaukee.

    Nate McMillan used to coach in Seattle.

    Don Nelson was canned in Milwaukee, Golden State and New York.

    Jim O'Brien walked out on the Celtics, then was fired in Philadelphia.

    Terry Porter only lasted two seasons in Milwaukee.

    Doc Rivers was shown the door in Orlando.

    Leading the Nets into the Finals in successive seasons couldn't save Byron Scott's job in New Jersey.

    Scott Skiles was fired in Phoenix and Chicago.

    Jerry Sloan has been on Utah's bench forever, but before that he was fired after coaching the Bulls from 1979-82.

    Stan Van Gundy was replaced in Miami.

    Except for the rookies and the newly installed replacements, only six holdover coaches have yet to be fired: Mike Woodson, Marc Iavaroni, Lawrence Frank, Mike Brown, Gregg Popovich, and (discounting his being fired by a team in the Puerto Rican summer league) Phil Jackson.

    Here are some basic reasons why coaches get hired and rehired:

    Charley's NBA tour

    Charley Rosen FOXSports.com's Charley Rosen has been watching every team closely this season. Now he has a scouting report on each one.
    Eastern Conference
    Atlantic
    Central
    Southeast

    76ers

    Pistons

    Bobcats

    Nets

    Bulls

    Magic

    Celtics

    Bucks

    Heat

    Knicks

    Pacers

    Wizards

    Raptors

    Cavs

    Hawks
    Western Conference
    Northwest
    Pacific
    Southwest

    Thunder

    Suns

    Rockets

    Nuggets

    Kings

    Grizzlies

    Wolves

    Lakers

    Spurs

    Blazers

    Clippers

    Mavs

    Jazz

    Warriors

    Hornets

  • It's understood that some excellent coaches sometimes simply don't get along with a team's superstar — Flip Saunders and Rasheed Wallace, Nellie and Patrick Ewing — and are therefore welcomed by teams who believe that their players are more coachable.

  • Some guys have influential godfathers, the best example being Carlesimo and Pop.

  • Some guys were hired by ex-teammates who became general managers — Saunders and Kevin McHale.

  • Some guys were longtime stars on specific franchises — like Sloan in Chicago.

  • A coach's particular game plan matches a team's personnel.

  • Many lead assistants on successful ballclubs are likewise considered to be ready to take over their own teams.

    But the most significant reason why the same coaches get rehired ad infinitum is simply the fact that, since they'd been previously vetted and hired by an NBA team, they're considered to be a "safe" selection. Which means that the GMs' butts are covered.

    In any case, the coaches' carousel never stops spinning.

    Travels with Charley

    My stint as coach of the Oklahoma City Cavalry coincided with a local extravaganza called The Festival of the Horse. The festivities included the showing of some kind of rare breed of horse flesh at the Cowboy Hall of Fame, a concert by Tony Bennett and a H-O-R-S-E contest at one of the malls.

    The general manager of the Cavalry, Chip Land, was eager for me to participate in the shooting competition and I readily agreed. However, Land insisted that I dress for the event in a business suit replete with necktie and civilian shoes. When I protested, he said that since highlights of the event were to be featured on all the local TV stations, I had to be properly attired. And he refused to back down.

    So there I was, matching shots with sneaker-clad opponents in my shirt-sleeves (he ultimately agreed that I could abandon my jacket and loosen my tie) and slippery city shoes. Even worse, the temporary basket was installed on a highly polished tile underfooting. It was all I could do to keep my balance while launching my corkscrew jumpers, but the necessary concentration and awkward physical contortion quickly exhausted me.

    By some miracle I won three rounds, before being soundly trounced in the finals by a local sportscaster.

    My shirt and long pants were drenched with sweat as I accepted the second-place trophy. Even so, Land was irate. After all, I was the coach, and my losing made the Cavalry look bad.

    I told him that I would have had a much better chance of winning had I been allowed to compete in sweats and sneakers.

    "You don't understand, Charley," he insisted. "It's all about image and class."

    Oh. My bad.

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