Five teams that could get over playoff hump

by Randy Hill

Veteran columnist Randy Hill is a frequent contributor to FOXSports.com.


Updated: May 5, 2008, 3:16 PM EST 475 comments

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The following NFL assessments will be made without regard to future incidents involving yachts, pepper spray, firearms or car washes.

With law and disorder as factors, making pro football predictions is a tricky business. So, let's pretend handcuffs will have no impact on the NFL's 2008 season and attempt to pinpoint a few teams capable of rising to a playoff occasion.

Each qualifying team must satisfy the burden of having been either mediocre or downright awful in 2007. It also should be noted that this positive potential is based on draft-weekend evidence, skill at free-agent signing and expected maturity of players already on the payroll.

Before digging deeper into this suspects-to-prospects list, we're ready to provide the biggest reason why your team won't be included.

That biggest reason is lack of faith (from me) in your quarterback.

This means that despite the return of Adrian Peterson and the arrival of Jared Allen, I'm not on the bandwagon currently speeding out of Minnesota. My skepticism extends to Chicago, where -- despite the drafting of a left tackle -- the Bears' passing game figures to be an inadequate partner for a mediocre running game.

The Baltimore Ravens are popular in teams-that-will-rise forecast, but unless rookie Joe Flacco offers proof of a Dan Marino-type debut, I'm refusing to crawl on board.

However, please understand that some teams with seemingly enough talent to succeed (Arizona Cardinals) are excluded due to reasons of karma.

Anyway, with a few negatives out of the way, let's take a look at the teams currently smelling considerably better than in 2007:

NFC

  • New Orleans Saints (7-9 last season): OK, while they could have been a bit better at upgrading pass coverage, the Saints' defense just has to be improved with established pro Jonathan Vilma at linebacker and rookie tackle Sedrick Ellis plugging the middle. The efforts of Ellis should enable ends Charles Grant and Will Smith to pressure quarterbacks with enough gusto to prevent excessive danger to the Saints' corners.

    With QB Drew Brees still in his prime, the New Orleans offense should be fit as a fiddle. The key here may be the continued emergence of a young running back (but do I mean Reggie Bush or Pierre Thomas?) and the return of Deuce McAllister.

    The addition of Jeremy Shockey would have been nice, but it's been demonstrated that great success can be achieved without him.

    DeSean Jackson might give the Eagles an explosive option (and should at least be a force in the return game.) (Otto Greule Jr. / Getty Images)

  • Philadelphia Eagles (8-8): Boy, this certainly is a leap of faith.

    I strongly considered going with the Washington Redskins here, but decided that if the Redskins aren't convinced regarding Jason Campbell's current level of performance, then my skepticism should prevail.

    So, let's assume Donovan McNabb won't suffer a season-ending back injury while looking over his shoulder at Kevin Kolb and Brian Westbrook manages to avoid space-alien abduction. If the latter occurs, the addition of Lorenzo Booker might ease the doom until Westbrook is returned to our planet.

    But the big reason for optimism (delivered with a side order of skepticism) is rookie receiver DeSean Jackson, who was the nation's biggest tease while at Cal.

    If Jackson can catch the ball -- and not be forced to play against USC -- his big-play potential will work wonders in Philly. We're pretty sure he can catch kickoffs and punts; at worst, he should be quite the threat in those areas.

    The defensive additions include big-ticket item Asante Samuel lining up at corner, with rookie Trevor Laws capable of creating traffic jams from his defensive tackle spot. You may remember Laws as one of the few Notre Dame players who refused to be grotesquely overmatched last season.

  • Carolina Panthers (7-9): I just couldn't muster enough faith in an NFC West team, so we're going with another upgrade from the NFC South.

    This pick, of course, is making the huge assumption that QB Jake Delhomme will go from bad elbow to beyond competent. I also nearly talked myself off the Panthers while remaining unconvinced that the return of Muhsin Muhammad will make things easier for superstar receiver Steve Smith.

    But, as a card-carrying Pac-10 guy, I think a lot of rookie runner Jonathan Stewart, who -- teaming up with DeAngelo Williams -- should give John Fox a nice running game to build around.

    I'm also a fan of adding rookie linebacker Dan Connor to a defense that really needs Julius Peppers to impersonate Julius Peppers this year.

    AFC

  • Denver Broncos (7-9): While improving in this conference is no hayride, the Broncos are working in a division that could allow them to make a little hay.

    Most of my faith is lobbed at QB Jay Cutler, whose history of playing for Vanderbilt should prepare him for life with diabetes. Cutler's protection now includes rookie tackle Ryan Clady, while Arizona State draftee Ryan Torain seems like the perfect candidate for mind-blowing success in Mike Shanahan's running game.

    I'm also riding the Broncos due to karma and faith in a system; they can't stink yet again, can they?

  • Cincinnati Bengals (7-9): Despite the recent efforts of linebacker Ahmad Brooks and Chad Johnson, I believe the Bengals have enough talent to stagger into January.

    Yeah, the blame for most of this risky optimism rests on the shoulders of QB Carson Palmer, but I'm also supportive of adding LB Keith Rivers and DT Pat Sims to the Cincinnati defense.

    It also should be noted that if Johnson is moved, the Bengals may have drafted one or two kids capable of keeping T.J. Houshmandzadeh from drawing triple coverage.

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