College Football

College football odds Week 14: Bet on Pitt to cover vs. Wake Forest

Updated Dec. 4, 2021 8:08 p.m. ET

By Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sports NFL Analyst

Sadly we have arrived on the final weekend of the college football season. But cheer up because we have some fantastic matchups in conference championship weekend!

Here is my favorite remaining bet on the slate, with odds via FOX Bet.

No. 16 Pittsburgh vs. No. 15 Wake Forest (8 p.m. ET Saturday, ABC)

Give me the Pitt Panthers in the ACC Championship Game in Charlotte.

It's hard to back a team like Wake Forest, which is so one-dimensional. Wake Forest ranks seventh in points per drive on offense, and its offense has barely been stopped this season. Outside of a low-scoring game against Clemson, Wake has scored 35 points or more in each of its games.

However, over the last month, Wake Forest has lost to North Carolina 58-55 and barely beat North Carolina State the following week, 45-42. High scoring has not given the Demon Deacons blowout wins against good opponents.

Now Wake Forest takes on Pittsburgh, which is a well-rounded team. The Panthers rank ninth in points per drive on offense and now face a soft Demon Deacons defense. Wake Forest ranks 83rd in points per drive, 121st in explosive play rate and 113th in rushing success rate.

Pittsburgh will move the ball at will, putting pressure on Wake's offense to score on every drive against a Panthers' defense that's ranked 18th in points per drive.

I just think the matchup is too lopsided for Wake to cover the (four) points.

PICK: Pittsburgh (-3.5 at FOX Bet) to win by more than 3.5 points

Geoff Schwartz played eight seasons in the NFL for five different teams. He started at right tackle for the University of Oregon for three seasons and was a second-team All-Pac-12 selection his senior year. He is an NFL analyst for FOX Sports. Follow him on Twitter @GeoffSchwartz.

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