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Pick Nation has your picks for week 11 of the NFL season.
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You can't winners what the Rose showed you how to make more. Works MSNBC. Yes sports TV brings over. Having experience to the table. Industry. You're number one source for. Really nervous. Two weekends ago the NFL favorites had their strongest performance of the entire season covering ten out of fourteen games. But last weekend the underdogs that fact. Going eight and six vs the oddsmakers. But bottom line this is all cyclical business guys at the end of the year -- had a favorite 510 games over 500 or the dogs five or ten games over 500. But it doesn't matter the only thing that's important. As whether or not you were on the right side of -- winning favored or winning dog that was the game you need and you bet on and that's why you're watching this show. The countdown to kickoff program the only nationally televised show to break them all here opting for a point spread perspective. Al DiMarco along with Steve -- and joining you for six consecutive year here on foxsports.com. And nationwide courtesy of sports time Ohio at a Cleveland. And Steve first came on the board with pennant and FC east showdown between two cellar dwellers. Philadelphia and Washington not many people expecting much and the Redskins this season. But they figured to be exciting with RG three that the Eagles have just totally on the pieces Andy Reid on his way out Michael Vick is out. Nick falls rookie making the start looking and hope for the Eagles to me be snapped a five game skid. Right so Michael Vick is out for this game probably out for Steven season maybe even out completely and like you said Andy -- it's not a matter if it's a matter of when I mean I would Eagles players at this point I'd be like I was on the set of Two and a Half Men right before Charlie Sheen started the big gap because very complete. This rank but that's emotionally. Physically. The Eagles just can't stop -- just can't stop the pass -- so they can't. Can't protect their quarterback it only. Only getting worse for them that they got a rookie in there instead of Michael Vick I like Washington your by the way if -- a book maker you love the eagle batters because they're one and eight so far this year against the spread. I think that trend continues -- with Washington. Now Steve brought up an interesting point here at the offensive line the Eagles unable to really offer any type of pass protection from Michael -- so far this season -- course a rookie but definitely bigger than vick's standing in the back in the backfield. But Eagles do get their starting right part back. Today that's going to be Danny Watkins and that means they re shuffled the offensive line once more probably the best news out there is Demetrius Bell who has been absolutely dreadful since being signed as a free agent. For training camp broke. He is back on the bench where he belongs I think the key however in this contest is though Washington. Doesn't. Much of a pass rush that's the thing here the Redskins. I mean they aren't absolutely dreadful defense ranked twenty and the only give up 27 point eight points a game. They're number thirty vs the pass and the defense of statistics in terms of -- other secondary gets sports. They get a 64%. Completions to opposing quarterbacks who have already gone in twenty touchdown passes and ten interceptions and a large part of that is because their defensive line is only ten of fourteen sacks in nine games and the Eagles have certainly had their -- and into opposing. Quarterbacks this season as well but I think in this spot. This is the time you jump on Philadelphia. I know fools only solace first regular season action last week but I think that he played well enough. And I think this Eagles team just even -- they're having a bad team talent wise. Overall as a team their better so I like Philly in this particular spot. Not next game is gonna be a real good showdown in the NFC north between the Packers and the Lions. But first we've got to talk about fantasy football on a free contests we run every single week at pick nation dot com. Steve 500 dollars in total prize money in the best thing -- top twenty finish in the money. We've been doing this for two years now it's been a great success and the big thing you -- out there to knows two things number one. The contest is absolutely agree. Number -- you -- and there it week in and week out as most of you do go on after that 500 dollars the last thing I would say is that this is it your normal fantasy football if you're just getting to this site just getting into the contest you'll see this is a weekly contest so every single week you've got a chance to go after the money not once a year like when we were kids. And again top twenty finish in the money 500 dollar total prize pool first place is worth a 125 dollars and Steve said it is -- an -- and it's instant gratification. It is over after the Monday night game between the Bears and the 49ers on Tuesday the winners will be announced. You can't ask for anything better than had a free shot to win money on you gotta do is gonna pick nascent dot com click on the fantasy football ads. Put together your roster by 1 o'clock eastern time here on Sunday afternoon and you are -- and ready to welcome Steve said with a yen or seven times before this is your first time it's -- -- make she and her. Ethnic nation dot com. Packers and Lions Steve Packers coming off the bye -- may have been a phenomenal play covering six straight games. You know a lot of people we talked about it last -- on the show work. In love with the lines -- we -- Minnesota and mainly that eighth time and get to the Vikings have been questioned their two previous games by the Seahawks. And at Tampa Bay. I'm Minnesota dominated the line snapping their three game winning streak now. Detroit at favorable home stretch find most of their games at home but a tough opponent the Packers. Yeah Green Bay not the same oiled machine they were last year obviously they've lost that air of invincibility but you'd be wrong to think that they're not a dangerous team. They are a dangerous team the problem with the Packers is their banged up at key positions so they have a problem with that if you look at Detroit while they've sold this year. That they can score with the best out I don't think either one of these teams are gonna have a problem scoring this game like over in this -- can certainly see. Over with the line's been on 29 and fourteen overrun I can also see the Packers having covered nine of the last twelve in the series with the push that along the way that I think you hit it keep going here. So many injuries Clay Matthews is out. That means the Packers pass rush this missing the most vital cog they've still got injuries with Greg Jennings outs on many injuries on both sides of the line of scrimmage. But they are coming off the -- I don't know you know -- put my money on Matthew Stafford or Aaron Rodgers I'm putting on on the Aaron Rodgers but I agree with you have to play -- I'd probably lean toward the over with you. But for me it's one of those games boom move on to the next game. Which is Atlanta Arizona and -- frankly we can probably skip this game as well I could care less about this contest Falcons are nine and I have ten point favorite in this game. -- they had their dreams and their hopes -- for an undefeated season losing again for the eighth time in nine games to New Orleans last week I know I had the Falcons as my best -- -- -- hit everything else lost the best -- at that time. Weigh sometimes in gambling you've got Arizona coming in here -- by with a five game losing streak. I mean on paper Atlanta -- when this much money. I just on the -- -- going to be ready for this game mentally emotionally. Well it -- lost like you said and I think good things come at one. They can forget this nearly perfect season thing what number two outs is I think we're getting a little value here because had. Had -- beaten. New Orleans last week they be 1414. And happier because they lost that he. Their nap at the real problem with the Atlanta is they can't run. Or they can't stop the run the good news is they're playing Arizona Arizona couldn't run out of a -- burning building and they certainly can't stop Matty ice I think it. It is it cheap paper here even though it's a double digit favorite I'm only in the big what. -- you know it to the probably the two most to re zillion teams in the NFL office straight up loss in the New England Patriots. And surprise surprise based on jeopardy next week announced for Beckett -- up the question the answer is Atlanta Falcons may have covered eighteen. Of their last 21 games following a straight up loss I mean that's truly an amazing record so I can certainly see. Some validity and going -- and laying the points with the Falcons and personally if I had the play this game to put a gun in my head. I still had him play the Falcons in this one and listen when -- home coming off the straight up loss that -- -- of their last nine. And the average covers them by twelve points are only like nine and get to ten here. I don't know what the hell happened last week in New Orleans I don't understand that last sequence of play calling when the Falcons had a chance to win this game and win mean money. Especially when they have second and -- when -- -- pass run pass are you kidding it's a New Orleans Saints. Is this what you pay Michael Turner -- and Michael in the -- getting in the in the end zone I don't know what now happen. But I do know one thing you know the Cardinals had that offensive line that's like -- if I mean they've given up 35 sacks in the last six games so. Again I'm with you you're gonna let it in my -- will play it that way because I don't see any reason to get John's Elton in that the Arizona Cardinals and he loved here in Vegas. I speaking up our best that's on the card remember you can get them all for free one day trial at pick nation dot com. -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Combined you enforcement would have gone in my best at looser on the Atlanta Falcons but hey that's the beautiful thing about it not. Thing is head and -- total transparency at pick nation dot com. And we do this giving you while the place because we feel that over the long haul. We've got the best collection of handicap person can make you money on a consistent basis again. Over the long haul because there's no guarantees in gambling nobody wins every single thing in this business that's just the way of life. And reality Steve with this all access pass they are getting 6700. Dollars worth of action for free. By using this past in fact last Sunday and had a monster play from whenever -- campers Matt Rivers the biggest play of this career. He cashed in with Seattle -- that -- against -- -- New York Jets and we'll talk about them in the second half of the program is in New York Jets. And right it would cost you 89 dollars even bought that place separately that that claim all the plays offering an actress for free and like he said it's unique in this business and there's a reason. Why other companies don't do it they don't want to know what's going on their back door they wanna grab your money part. And worry about later obviously where the polar opposite. So the 31 day all access pass that -- nascent dot com. Now guys when you lose you don't take advantage of our salary offer our final game -- the -- going to be -- in Cleveland. That's it let's go to the Indy commercial break I mean listen the Cowboys are -- five on the season. Which I attempted to -- straight losses are six and more they're sitting in second place for the chance to still won the NFC east. NFC east after four road games in five weeks now play -- three straight at home but home has not been too nice for the Cowboys here of late no I think. It's game actually comes down to who needs -- more. Dallas by himself in the thick of the playoff on all of us not so they definitely need it or pull out that is absolutely right. The problem is the Cowboys they're terrible at home Tony Romo. Ten interceptions the last three games. The last six games at home there -- six against the spread the last twelve there to win and against the spread. This -- it up one and Cleveland. Get the backdoor cover that's what everyone's thinking if I'm -- ballots you always have to go against that thread I'm betting ballots here probably this evidence that. God help me. And lessen the thing with the Cowboys Steve touched on a couple of those ATS negative trends about how pathetic they've been at home but when they've been asked the late points here in Vegas they've been atrocious. 517. And one in their last 23 games against the spread. When cast as a favorite 517 and want your former book maker. My gosh you had customers I'm sure back in the days they go against trends like that they were just losing their shirts week after week. Well because what happens is that those trends are incorporated into the line so you're seeing the line that bases itself on everything that's -- Happened up to this point so you're just banging your head against the wall by quoting back when they're already in the line. Listen you see that Dallas when last week 3823 Philadelphia to keep in mind. Two -- touchdowns and thanks to the defense one thing because of that special teams were up by Philadelphia so wasn't great offensive performance. But all said and done I would so go ahead and lay the points but the France on. That goal against the Cowboys and light it with -- this particular game. And because Cleveland another team I just can't show when he love to at all when it comes to putting my money on the team. Hey that's gonna come -- part one of this week's show we are going to be back in just a moment I first came up Saint Louis and his New York Jets. Like get my best bet today the plays at every single Gabbert -- nascent dot com fourth -- no strings -- guys on it ran out -- your general manager of the world's largest online sports game would -- -- -- -- -- -- today you do you mind that's bad plays it at single handicap at the site or worry simply by using the one day for all access pass. -- nation dot com. That's -- my best that plays a ten handicap was more -- If you would upon them separately guys you would spend over 600 dollars you're gonna get them 483. On -- at pick nation dot com. Now -- -- -- why am -- him away for free because pat on that continent not but the others in the best actress neat nick and when you consistent basis what better way to show you how good they are. Then by giving you their place that 84 rate once again the 31 day all access -- -- -- it was but at pick nation dot com. What about everyone in the countdown to -- program out mark along with scheme and this is the only nationally count by show that breaks and your top NFL and college football games every weekend from. Point spread perspective. First game here is sweetly off second half of the program. Is going to be the New York Jets coming off another disappointing performance I don't know if you can say it's disappointing because it's up all season -- to be quite with you -- mean. They got bushwhacked by Seattle they were coming off the -- they were bushwhacked by the Miami Dolphins the previous week prior bat by at home. Now suddenly they're getting three and a half points at Saint Louis I think that is too few for you -- New York -- out there. I like the right reasons one. Would you call the Jets might he mean you know as much I loved them I eat them but the truth is there might be because every week since week one. I'd been right all -- about that every single time now. Mark Sanchez I don't know whether he'll be next here. Rex Ryan will be the defense -- coordinator somewhere as our head coach in those -- -- figured -- they're completely number one in the world. Would you rate he'd he'd go to New York now that's the question we've been asking since week one of the season. More now added that we -- we know that he didn't bring him in as a red zone back but he didn't bring him as a third and short that if you bring him as a running back the only. That people -- if -- on the sidelines ads in the crap. At a Mark Sanchez hasn't played so great to begin with an Al -- trying to come out and makes another colossal crack at -- Thick and Mark Sanchez no matter what. Actually. Knock somebody. It's a good thing pictured bikini wait. Because you're gonna have a bead on it being very -- as a matter back listening. You'd trees with Lee in the background that's found the retired -- -- with -- here. Tony I thought Saint Louis was going in this contest he's now done. You feel better -- he got that off the class. Act I think you know he has to talk about the Jets once a week just leave -- a little pressure builds up I think that happened -- a lot of this week I called earlier -- -- -- it we only have so much time to talk about these games so with Tampa Carolina outing here by the way -- like Carolina. But listen you know here's the other thing with Saint Louis I was very impressed with a 24 point four time San Francisco. -- they were up fourteen nothing and act in the Al team the San Francisco 49ers defense that played so well all season but especially at home Sam Bradford. Passed for 275 yards Stephen Jackson who. I think is obviously on the downside of his where 29 carries 101 yards. And I think this is all positive. Going against -- Jets defense which has been pathetic all season long and plus. You know the Graham's hand -- generated there pass rusher rejuvenated their past Christmas at 65 sacks San Francisco last week 26 on the year. You know with the Jets getting no production from Shawn green is here and on the road he's averaging like forty yards and boom on the season. I just don't see many. Opportunities for the Jets to get into the red zone let alone get into the end zone. So I think it's a dirt cheap price and Saint Louis and again. I think it's -- public perception that. The Jets have all this talent but you know. I think it's been proven at this stage of the season aren't that talented team. -- ever been taken away by injury me in -- way out with whatever is left. And doesn't help that they can't Tony Sparano as their offense coordinator either I next in new England and Indianapolis -- Patriots showed again what the problem is with acting last week when they are hosting the Buffalo Bills at home they -- -- 73 it looked like it was going to be -- city and suddenly it's a 3431 game. And they're just eking out a 3731 when they don't mean come close to covering the double digit spread. Given Indianapolis team here that won back to back road games it's playing with a lot of confidence and -- has been playing so well as a rookie. I'm Indianapolis team and is discovered a ground game. But. You know I look at this defense stats for the Patriots negative 351 -- to the bills 481 total yards. Phils had a time of possession -- in 1934 minutes 26. I don't feel comfortable playing nine point -- renewing and no. -- when you look at any luck he's got all the earmarks that they were looking for he's going to be there based in the future he's gonna do exactly what they put him in -- to -- now let's not blown out of proportion he's going into New England here he's facing one of the best offenses in the league now gamblers will be quick to point out that he had that game against Green -- his signature game this year. That was at home. This is -- -- what I think the bottom line comes down duties that the Patriots defense and I've been saying it week in and week out is a complete fit. Bill Belichick supposed to be -- defensive -- the man hasn't had a defense in four years he's getting. By Tom Brady's arm. Not enough to cover and at points. Like the dog years well yeah I don't want to touch society but might wanna look at over 53 and a half points as I think the Colts -- the Patriots are both about points and as we've seen the Patriots like the play from ahead. And then they let everybody else come back from behind so I have the potential for the backdoor cover and for the over is well. Now let's talk about -- your friends in New Orleans Saints who cost me a win last week against the Falcons after being so good to me the week before against Philadelphia. You know I look at this price and people probably after the game in public and going oh my gosh Oakland just you know 55 points at Baltimore last week saying it's just upset the Falcons. This is a cheap price. I'm hearing the word soccer. Also being said here because this is like head of bookmakers dreams for -- points -- on paper sanctions when this game. On paper the Saints to be better than foreign spot this season as well. But this is a team that's given up over for an ignored -- nine straight games they are near the Atlanta's position in every defensive category in the league in fact total defense hardly in the league. And at this Raiders team. This will be the game where you know suddenly out of the blue league they play well that's the scary thing about the sign in the scheme. While just signed me up on the sucker list because I like New Orleans here Raiders can't run without Aaron batted. That makes it hard for. Call him armor so much easier to hit it twenty yard play action -- when the defense is keying on the run. Just ask -- Worley that's exactly what they've been doing lately Drew Brees is Steve his running game come back like that added that. It's in their opted to that act I think that's -- -- that has had a little bit of successfully the -- this is a big scene wouldn't world that they win this game they come back the 500 and they haven't seen it at the playoffs all the sudden after a dreadful missed. Scandal ridden all season. I think there's no way that Drew Brees doesn't show for this game ready to roll -- problem with all the suckers out there right twice a week just like a broken clock I'll go with New Orleans. Minus four and a half. Listen guys I'm just gonna -- I concede the Saints winning and how boring this game as well but I would never put my money on this game so what are you do. It's not from an endorsement for me however. I look at this total of 54 and a half and I'm telling you. The Saints can't stop any by the Raiders stop anybody either you -- two of the worst pass defense is to the worst answer Washington's. Well why did -- and the Raiders can't run the ball as he said with Darren McFadden unhealthy Saints as a point that only an Atlantic team I'd really like what happened in Philadelphia game Monday night two weeks ago. Once Darren Sproles went out with a broken hand it was almost like. They were forced to go oh my gosh we can run the ball we got Chris Ivory we got Mark Ingram -- on the 740. Under 48 yards last two games on the ground. I think -- round game will be there because remember it was just in Sundays ago the Tampa Bay came in Oakland and Doug Martin. I think he's still running I think you had a fourth 500 yards in the game last I checked so I do think that the Saints can get the job done but I like the over 54 -- What you make it interesting point and actually made it a couple of times during the showed today that you wouldn't touch this game or this is in the game that you would bet on it. You know that's an interesting point because what we do here on the show is we go over every single important game and we take a position on this is something that they've never done on TV before but that doesn't mean that we're bedding every single game that we have an opinion not that's what you do in college when -- learning how to bet at this point to come up for professional advice that's the big difference between. Taking our premium placed on our website and then going to show and here in all of our free picks. I remember you can get our best that's on pick nation dot com. For free today the one try it one day all access pass free trial rights read go to the site -- on the big yellow and it says all access pass and get everybody. Premium play. Big difference between a premium play and a replay the premium plays are the ones that we sell to our customers and that we bet on ourselves. The three plays out I don't care I could go all -- not with my -- play if I hit my fifty or hundred timer on Sunday with the Baltimore group I'm happy I listen and. We talk about total transparency I went for an -- my free picks last weekend in the NFL and I lost my best bet it happens sometimes. But listen you've got no rest because -- gonna come one day all access pass it all over place for free over -- nation dot com no strings attached. Next in Denver and San Diego first time these two met you remember that Monday -- Broncos were down 24 nothing -- they come right back when 35 point -- -- -- quite a roll here. -- Peyton Manning's 79% completions sixteen touchdown passes three interceptions last six games of which the Broncos won five of them. I don't see the Chargers staying close in the scheme. Now on the last time they played like you said -- -- when he when nothing halftime lead but. -- was back when Peyton Manning was only showing up for the second half the game what we've seen the last three weeks is timing. Jelling -- wire to wire performance from -- Manny I think that's the case here if you're out there and you're worried about laying. 78. Point would Denver let me just remind you every single home game that they ever been in this here they've won by double digit so that really doesn't bother me I think that's -- -- -- just another favorite only the seven and a half. Hey listen guys unless we shall I told you to go. Against the Chargers and back Tampa Bay at home and you saw what happens to -- self destructed again Norv Turner the next one of the many coaches actually it's going to be. Going looking for new job here at the end of the year. And the Chargers are one and six against the spread their last seven as a road dog meanwhile the Broncos have covered five others last six division games. And that covered five straight games as a favorite so again lay the points. The next game looked good when they announced it looked good it to about seven days ago doesn't look too good now with Baltimore Pittsburgh. Ravens obviously three point favorite no Big Ben is now we know Byron Leftwich is making his first start since 2009 at. At one -- last seen one as a starting quarterback 2006. That doesn't bode well for the -- chances in this particular game even though the Ravens have been awful on the road this year. I read both these teams. Are what used to be up but they both have a lot of pride. You know pride in this city pride in the teams aren't in the what that means to me is that this game will be ugly. And it will be worn out when you're in a war as a gambler always wanted me. Extra bullets in the battle with you that their reasoning here for me on eight in the points. Like the Stewart's here must have for the -- -- when this. Mean they have not to rely on their ground game they've got a relying on their defense now we have managed Pittsburgh as in this particular contest disappointments defense. Is right there with -- Oakland in New Orleans I mean we're talking about. Bottom of the barrel does not exist pride and I've been telling you this all year long from week one the Ravens defense a bold. It's just an old defense and the fact that Ray Lewis is out doesn't matter at all -- -- his act as a matter at all. I think Pittsburgh will be able to run the ball you -- actively. Biron -- which you know I think starts are on the ball from down here any brings it way up he looks like a shot putter never liked him as a quarterback. I like the under a little I can see the Pittsburgh why but I think it's just going to be game I'll watch on TV and that's it. Again guys remember you get my best bet today the best bets of Steve's Baltimore crew and all my handicap respect nascent dot com for 31 day all access pass to Steve. They get like over 6700 hours of action for for. It's the best thing we have on our site it's the greatest deal for the newcomers you come in in every single by every single person's played absolutely -- the premium plays. Not the freaknik that's what you want and guys remember you can check my personal daily video report out every day at pick nation dot com. Three picks in depth analysis money -- discount coupons and more for Steve Goodman out DiMarco will catching next weekend. On the countdown to kick -- program.