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Current Video:Pick Nation: Super Bowl Pick|

The experts at Pick Nation make their Super Bowl XLIV pick. Find out who you should take.

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Automatically Generated Transcript (may not be 100% accurate)

25 years I've been a professional sports handicapped in that time guys I'm telling -- the number one problem I've seen with the Super Bowl. Is that you gamblers out there often you make it your biggest play of the year. I don't get me wrong it's the biggest game of the year from the league standpoint. But really it's just another team that the wagered upon from our perspective. Really no different than any mid American conference college football contest played on -- Tuesday night in October. Problem as a lot of gamblers look at the Super Bowl is that one last chance to Belmont from miserable season. One last opportunity to make big money at season's end. In a Super -- the single most over analyze. Ever wagered upon. Two weeks of work less and endless media hype only contributes to the -- that there is we're currently any value. And the Super Bowl actual line. Now when I'm talking I want talking about you don't have busy Saturday or -- cart whether it's college football and our college basketball now. -- you gonna find that Kansas -- now. Not when you have a single game such as the Super Bowl. And this is a lot different than -- an isolated Monday there -- football whether college or pro because remember those games haven't been dissected from every single angle over two week period. I don't want out -- market here general manager and lead analyst for the world's largest online sports handicapping community and today I've got your -- Super Bowl pick plus a ton. -- proposition plays as well and fight all I just said remember and say you should not be playing the super ball went back. New Orleans Indianapolis is not a fifteen I'm best at winner from in those fifteen -- releases. I'm 167. And two over the past two seasons in the NFL with those plays including 81 and one. The lance and Sundays of action and considering I'm 123 and it with my last seventeen Super Bowl release is winning six of the last seven years. It's an extremely strong quiet but again. Far my biggest game of the year. You know what's a fifteen I'm -- it's no stronger than any of the other 815 I'm winners I've given you over the previous ten Sunday. Now more about an animal what let's get to a few Super Bowl -- because. There really is no more interesting game to right now from a statistical standpoint in this particular contest called of course six you know straight up twelve to four against the spread. Games at Peyton Manning started and went the distance this season now won eleven of war against the spread is favored and has contact. Indianapolis is seven and one straight up and ATS on the road this -- winning those games by an average margin of fourteen points a game 3117. Now it's -- outside the -- down -- one straight up but only breaking even versus the oddsmakers splitting out there raking against spread. Winning those contests on average by eleven points a game. 3221. Yard average final score now the -- now have done one thing exceptionally well. And that's battled AFC over the past two years going eight and -- oddsmakers winning seven of those eighteen straight not backed. This yearlong ban went for an elbow straight up and ATS versus the other conference winning all four of those games by double digits. Now as for the big game itself think about it more often than not in the super ball you've had blowouts. -- they want. Of the previous 43 Super Bowls have been the -- about fourteen points or more 32 of those teams have been signed by at least the touched down. Now only eight times and Super Bowl history is straight up winner failed to cover the point right. And straight up winners -- not and one against the spread in the pro season. The long looser Norman's spelling -- an overtime win against remain in the championship game two Sundays ago. Now on regular season and playoffs combined rate up -- as I've updated you all season long -- incredible 20 wait. 53 and five versus the oddsmakers that's spread covering clip a 179 point 7% so you -- the straight up winner this year. Regular season and post season. You won nearly 80% your place and you throw on the pre season as well that percentage jumps up 84%. Course if only it was right. I don't like favorites of rain I have -- six points in the of or 74 against spread in the title game. I'm as you know the underdog Arizona covered last year and Pittsburgh has covered six of the last eight title game. Lot of people on these last couple weeks have made mention of that Indianapolis is experiencing true. Called up 25 players on their roster. That work on the roster when they beat Chicago in Super Bowl 413 years ago but since 1994. Teams returning to the Super Bowl within three seasons of their previous appearance just one and seven versus the oddsmakers. Now on the other hand. -- making their Super Bowl debut. Against an experienced title bout. Well there six and eleven against the spread like time and that's despite Arizona's cover last year against the viewers. I can always say guys you find one -- this sport once sign and I guarantee you I'm gonna find it -- to the back the other. That's what trends are so overvalued in handicapping circles. Now -- for -- pick as I noted earlier it's my way to fifteen -- that's that really in this place. Evident to. Over the past two seasons in the -- including 81 and one -- and Sunday's action. And I'm 123 into -- last seventeen Super Bowl release is winning six of the past seven years backs available right now he wrong line. For the race -- I'm gonna go with the under even out. Seven of the ten games so far in the post season upon over the posted price. And the total is floating around that -- 57 and hit points that is the highest post price ever. For Super Bowl -- keep in mind now it's seven previous times you had fifty or more points posted for the price for the total in the super ball. Only three over and for the last five Super Bowls of staying under the total as well some might -- I'm gonna go with the under. Now we're gonna take a quick at 30 great here and when we come back. An adult and two time up proposition plays that's what you -- a lot lot of guys like playing them I'm gonna give -- my opinion on whether they're good or bad. And one of the smart money. Proposition plays as well.

Sorry it can't be -- and guys that got an amazing pre all appropriated. I want them out DiMarco general manager of the world's largest sports handicapping website -- nation dot com. Six leaning sport handicap or how would you like get their ways. Murray Britain three days today tomorrow and the next day. Sorry for three days the plays a rat pack in -- O'Brien -- Tyson currently Sutton -- McNeal and -- Angelo. All six handicapping experts -- nation argue hours -- for the next three days just go to picnics and dot com click on the jury three day trial and that's all you got to do guys. All of their ways for a three day or worry at picnic and dot com and when I separate. I mean it's.

I am back I want out the market here general manager and lead analyst at the world's largest online sports handicapping community. Already gave me the great -- for the Super Bowl in case you missed it. It is going to be the under between the -- and occult but now wanna talk about proposition place you know recently moved to Vegas course. Been coming to Vegas only about fifteen times every NFL and college football season each of the past seven or eight years at second now. But you know when it comes to the super ball everybody thinks that. People just common wager on the game not so guys do you realize nearly 13. Of the total money wager on the game. On proposition playing here in Nevada. Nearly 13. Of the -- wager on proposition place people walk the proposition place. Now I'm gonna tell you something proposition place I've got seventeen pages of proposition lazier or -- right now. There are all types a wild and wacky proposition -- problem with them a lot of them they're just designed to take money out of your pocket. Now when I look at proposition place I look at one specific thing. I'm looking for proposition plays that are gonna give me plus money. The cars here's why most of these proposition planes are designed to be near even money proposition for example let me give you want. Peyton Manning in the Super Bowl is over under figure for the number of arts he's gonna -- forced out at 300 bonds. Well some minus 115 proposition over or the under same thing with Drew Brees. He's over under -- 285. Point five yards in the Super Bowl it's minus 115 over under the point what for goodness -- heads or tails minus 115 over or under. Guys why would you waste your time betting on the East River was kind of proposition place 15050 proposition. You can go head on the same 5050 proposition and go -- wager on the game itself. My point here and always has been on the proposition places this they are designed to simply take more money out of your pocket. Think of it as no different as one you go ahead and you're buying a stereo video equipment the salesperson is always trying to act. The at once the speaker wire that glance cleaning flow away all Ali act or not because that's where the company makes them money. Well bookmakers. Make their money. Through the proposition place because I think a lot of people out there will probably play ten to fifteen proposition place and I guarantee -- most of you'll go right around 500 you'll go eight and 62 going into seventh some of you know five and seven. But always come within a couple that teens -- opposition place being 500. And that's the problem when there even money proposition place. You're costing -- some money on the -- What I say you'll find the games that are acquire the proposition plays that are plus money. That are designed like -- a baseball underdog for example to make you money on the take back so let me go for some of them for you. Payton man will he or will he not throw a touchdown pass in the third quarter and the third quarter of the game. Well they yes option is quite a dollar 45. I love that proposition playing guys at -- put money down there absolutely. -- a dollar 45 man is gonna throw a touchdown pass in the third quarter the game. Will either team the Saints for the Colts scored three straight times without the other -- court. It could be attached in the field goal field goal three touchdowns in a row three field goals in a row. You get the draft right. Well I'd say. -- answer I don't see either team scoring three times in a row and to wager on know its class a dollar 45. Played power play a hundred when a dollar 45 my draft first score of the game will be a touchdown. What these guys he would never wager back you're willing to bet to win 100. Spot. I think it's going to be a field goal. You know the Colts are off in with the field goal in each of their first two playoff games against Jets and the Ravens. I was look at the Super Bowl is this -- generally the first quarter extremely low scoring. And you never will find a coach that given the opportunity is gonna pass up a chance to put points on the board. So even if it means they're gonna settle where they'll go they're gonna do it and it you go for the field goal option in this proposition black. It's plus a dollar ninety not gotten more these proposition plays for you and just among the first.

Eyes again and I told you all season long about the phenomenal contest we -- running in conjunction with the golden nugget hotel you know we're. In Las Vegas for eight -- all expenses paid. Getaway weekend high rollers getaway weekend for one lucky winner. Every thirty days and what's included not only a high roller sweep at the beautiful. Downtown Las Vegas golden nugget spots VIP check in the IP limo transportation to and from the airport. And two free tickets to Gordon Brown's tremendous show at the Goldman that we have been running this contest in September back to check out the website you'll see -- party we had there. At the golden -- see all the pictures that he Boone and all the other guys that went there and many of our handicapped -- our fans and an early January. Guys this is a totally boring contest no purchase is necessary. All you've got to do is go to the web -- upper right hand corner. Click on the entry spot Anders email address and personal information. Every thirty days the golden that it is gonna pick one lucky winner and again. You're gonna get a high rollers get the last week for three for the week and the acting them out transportation to and from the airport VIP check and know waiting -- for -- And of course to -- branched out. Golden -- is where I play it's where I've always stayed over the years and I'm telling -- it is a great place to go no -- plastic volcano is no phony people and a great sports book. Beautiful brand new watchtowers well second out on find no purchase necessary so go ahead and enter the contest. More opposition place for you. I think one of the most the past ones this week is total sacks by both teams because of the situation involving Dwight Freeney of the calls Willie clay. It's going to be near 50% because of the torn ligament in his ankle with the over under for sacks this agreement can't. Now here's -- I'm thinking here guys. You know Peyton Manning was only sacked ten times total during the regular season. Now in the post season he had twice by the Jets twice by the Ravens you saw -- All right Williams the -- the New Orleans defensive coordinator brought that he and constantly pressured Brett Favre. In the NFC championship game and was playing at home I've got that thing that Williams is gonna do the exact same thing here. While the over under Serena -- so let's just say I've got to get two sacks of both Manning and -- even though both quarterbacks have tremendously fast quick releases. I would say let's go with over three and a half because I'm getting money again on this proposition up plus 200. Will there be a defensive or special teams touchdown scored in the game when two of the last three Super Bowls -- has been. So amen to go with yes I'm MI money plus money again -- dollar 45. Here's one for you and be -- guys if you believe the Colts are gonna win this game. It's certainly not gonna ban on Peyton Manning to be the MVP it will be the obvious choice has been MVP winner before as as his brother Eli. Of the Giants a few years ago because it's a wonder to proposition right. But how about this about Reggie -- at ten to one. How about Pierre Garcon coming off that huge game and the AFC title contest against the Jets at fifteen to one. You joke about wide receiver will keep this in mind three -- the last five years wide receivers have won the MVP last year with Santonio Holmes. Pop back in 2000 Dixon's Hines Ward Pittsburgh back in 2005 was Deion Branch of New England. Of course the other two years it was a quarterback Eli and Peyton by the way if you think this Saints are going to win this game while guys you've got to go with Drew Brees. He's paying three to one as the MVP choice you can go with like Reggie Bush at fifteen to one but seriously. Let's go with Drew Brees and I'm -- favorite bizarre proposition plays not one this like three straight years. Is -- over under and how long the national anthem will take to be on carried under what the country singer the American Idol former winner is going to be singing at this you're. -- sent over under is eighteen minute and 42 seconds so here's the breakdown. Minute it was an answer Carrie Underwood is going to be singing that I was immediately on -- just like it was last year when jordin spark missing in another American Idol winner as well. 106 Major League Baseball All-Star game she hung in in a minute 38. And an NFL team at Qwest Field in Seattle in nineteen and 2006 she sang it in a minute 41. In game three of the World Series couple years -- Colorado she sang in and then minute 34. Well guys I'm gonna go under here because she hasn't happened that abortion doesn't then turn out. I don't see her -- out those final notes because remember the opening I know until the final so that's how they judge it. It's -- about that -- that's the one favorite I would take on the prop like that actually happened to stay under does your pop place that's the -- remember the under is the freebie. -- again next week right here.

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