Rays vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 5

Updated May. 5, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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Isaac Paredes and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Brandon Nimmo and the New York Mets on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET in the final game of a three-game series. The favored Rays have -113 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Mets, who are listed at -106. New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 7 runs for the matchup.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Tampa Bay Rays' 3-1 win over the New York Mets on Saturday, May 4th.

Rays vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
• Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Rays vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 53%, Mets 47%

Rays vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Rays have won 11, or 44%, of the 25 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Tampa Bay has entered 23 games this season favored by -113 or more and is 11-12 in those contests.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 53.1% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Mets have been victorious in five, or 38.5%, of the 13 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, New York has come away with a win five times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 51.5% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL (10)

NYM 6 · TB 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-108

o7

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

+1.5

-113

u7

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they went 1-5 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Rays and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Rays have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Paredes has accumulated a team-high seven home runs and 18 runs batted in.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Paredes is 16th in homers and 47th in RBI.
• Amed Rosario is hitting .309 to pace his team.
• Rosario ranks 163rd in homers in MLB, and 82nd in RBI.
• Jose Caballero has six doubles, a triple, two home runs and three walks while hitting .269.
• Richard Palacios has three doubles, three home runs and 15 walks while hitting .311.
• Palacios is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with a double, three walks and an RBI.

Rays Team Props

Learn more about this Rays vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Mets have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso has launched a team-best eight home runs.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Alonso's home run total is fifth and his RBI tally is 69th.
• Nimmo has collected 20 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Nimmo is 102nd overall in homers and 29th in RBI this year.
• Francisco Lindor has seven doubles, five home runs and 12 walks while batting .202.
• Starling Marte leads the team in batting average with a mark of .275.

Mets Team Props

Mets vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Tampa Bay Rays' 3-1 win over the New York Mets on Saturday, May 4th.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays - 05/05/2024